Price (90d)
$13.86Signal Score (90d)
100Quote
Valuation & Ratios
Returns & Efficiency
Revenue & Net Income (Annual)
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Net Income | EPS |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $971.12M | $10.69M | $1.19 |
| 2024 | $975.46M | $16.07M | $1.82 |
| 2023 | $764.63M | $123.18M | $13.92 |
| 2022 | $755.35M | $140.44M | $15.88 |
| 2021 | $518.86M | $62.53M | $7.07 |
Social Signal Score
Earnings
Wed, Nov 4(in 3 months)
Consensus estimate $0.08 per share
Typical surprise -145.9% (median, so one quarter with a near-zero estimate can't distort it)
- Thu, Aug 6$0.03 vs $0.11miss
- Wed, Apr 29$0.06 vs $0.05beat
- Wed, Mar 11$-0.08 vs $0.12miss
- Wed, Nov 5$-0.12 vs $0.26miss
- Wed, Aug 6$-0.13 vs $0.25miss
- Wed, May 14$-0.15 vs $0.30miss
Estimates and results for SDHC via Financial Modeling Prep. Beating consensus says the company cleared the bar analysts set, not that the business grew.
Valuation
Project earnings forward and see what return today's price implies.
Seeded from SDHC's reported EPS growth of -35.9% a year over 4 years. Historical EPS growth of -36% would project the company towards zero. Floored at -15% as a starting point.
- EPS in 5 years
- $0.53
- Implied price
- $7.38
- Return from $13.98
- -12.0% a year
To earn 15.0% a year on these assumptions you'd need to buy at $3.67 — -73.8% below today's price.
How sensitive is that answer?
Annual return across nearby assumptions. If the result is only attractive in one corner, that is the finding.
| growth \ P/E | 10 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -25.0% | -27.4% | -24.7% | -22.3% | -20.2% | -18.3% |
| -20.0% | -22.6% | -19.7% | -17.2% | -14.9% | -12.9% |
| -15.0% | -17.7% | -14.7% | -12.0% | -9.6% | -7.5% |
| -10.0% | -12.9% | -9.6% | -6.8% | -4.3% | -2.0% |
| -5.0% | -8.0% | -4.6% | -1.6% | 1.0% | 3.4% |
This is arithmetic on assumptions you chose, not a forecast or a recommendation. It ignores dividends, buybacks, share issuance and debt, and it assumes a company still earning money in 5 years. Change any input and the answer changes a lot — that sensitivity is the honest result, not a flaw in the model.
Mentions (1)
- Newsmarketbeat.com·6d ago·Neutral
Smith Douglas Homes Q2 Earnings Call Highlights Smith Douglas Homes NYSE: SDHC reported higher second-quarter home closings, revenue and net new orders, while continued affordability pressures and increased buyer incentives weighed on margins and profitability.
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