Price
No data yet.
Social Signal Score
Revenue
$1.05T+69.65%Analyst Estimates
Consensus estimates, not results. Via Financial Modeling Prep.
Company Profile
- CEO
- Takehiko Tsutsui
- Sector
- Consumer Defensive
- Industry
- Tobacco
- Employees
- 52,867
- Beta
- 0.13
- Country
- JP
- Piotroski score
- 7 / 9 (Strong)
- Altman Z-score
- 3.26
Financials
Revenue
$1.05T+69.6%Net Income
$233.09B+105.1%EBITDA
$376.04B+74.5%Free Cash Flow
$260.65B+14.1%EPS (diluted)
$130.78+104.3%Shares Outstanding (diluted)
1.78B+0.0%Operating Expenses
$290.08BCash & Debt
$1.03TReturn of Capital
$4.83BDividend per Share
$0.79Quote
Valuation & Ratios
Returns & Efficiency
Revenue & Net Income (Annual)
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Net Income | EPS |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $3.47T | $510.62B | $287.04 |
| 2024 | $3.15T | $179.24B | $100.95 |
| 2023 | $2.84T | $482.29B | $271.63 |
| 2022 | $2.66T | $442.72B | $249.45 |
| 2021 | $2.32T | $338.49B | $190.76 |
| 2020 | $2.09T | $310.25B | $174.88 |
| 2019 | $2.18T | $348.19B | $195.97 |
| 2018 | $2.22T | $385.68B | $215.31 |
| 2017 | $2.14T | $392.41B | $219.10 |
| 2016 | $2.14T | $421.69B | $235.47 |
| 2015 | $2.25T | $485.69B | $270.54 |
| 2014 | $2.02T | $362.92B | $199.67 |
| 2013 | $2.12T | $343.61B | $181.07 |
| 2012 | $2.03T | $320.88B | $168.50 |
Valuation
Project earnings forward and see what return today's price implies.
Seeded from JAPAF's reported EPS growth of 4.2% a year over 13 years.
- EPS in 5 years
- $353.30
- Implied price
- $7,066
- Return from $41.64
- 179.2% a year
To earn 15.0% a year on these assumptions you'd need to buy at $3,513 — today's price is already 98.8% below that.
How sensitive is that answer?
Annual return across nearby assumptions. If the result is only attractive in one corner, that is the finding.
| growth \ P/E | 14 | 17 | 20 | 23 | 26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -5.8% | 135.0% | 144.3% | 152.4% | 159.6% | 166.0% |
| -0.8% | 147.5% | 157.3% | 165.8% | 173.3% | 180.1% |
| 4.2% | 160.0% | 170.3% | 179.2% | 187.1% | 194.3% |
| 9.2% | 172.5% | 183.3% | 192.6% | 200.9% | 208.4% |
| 14.2% | 184.9% | 196.2% | 206.0% | 214.7% | 222.5% |
This is arithmetic on assumptions you chose, not a forecast or a recommendation. It ignores dividends, buybacks, share issuance and debt, and it assumes a company still earning money in 5 years. Change any input and the answer changes a lot — that sensitivity is the honest result, not a flaw in the model.
Signal Score (90d)
125Social Signal Score
Mentions (1)
- Newsseekingalpha.com·6h ago·Positive
Japan Tobacco: Strong Earnings Support The Share Price Japan Tobacco is rated BUY, trading at a 19% discount to Philip Morris despite similar forward EPS growth expectations. I expect JAPAY's share price to outperform peers, driven by strong operating income growth, market share gains, volume growth, and price increases. JAPAY boasts a record-high dividend yield, robust cash flows, and a low-leverage balance sheet, supporting ongoing dividend growth and defensive positioning.
View source ↗
Earnings
Thu, Oct 29(in 2 months)
Consensus estimate $0.69 per share
Typical surprise +8.9% (median, so one quarter with a near-zero estimate can't distort it)
- Thu, Jul 30$0.81 vs $0.60beat
- Fri, May 8$0.70 vs $0.59beat
- Thu, Feb 12$-0.01 vs $0.22miss
- Thu, Oct 30$0.73 vs $0.63beat
- Thu, Jul 31$0.64 vs $0.58beat
- Wed, May 7$0.59 vs $0.55beat
Estimates and results for JAPAF via Financial Modeling Prep. Beating consensus says the company cleared the bar analysts set, not that the business grew.