Price (90d)
No price history yet — the daily price refresh runs once a day.
Signal Score (90d)
107Quote
Valuation & Ratios
Returns & Efficiency
Revenue & Net Income (Annual)
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Net Income | EPS |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $8.60B | $44.00M | $0.73 |
| 2024 | $9.09B | $-336.00M | $-5.63 |
| 2023 | $9.21B | $30.00M | $0.50 |
| 2022 | $9.15B | $464.40M | $7.70 |
| 2021 | $11.00B | $596.62M | $9.62 |
Social Signal Score
Earnings
Thu, Aug 20(in 4 days)
Consensus estimate $0.80 per share
Typical surprise +24.3% (median, so one quarter with a near-zero estimate can't distort it)
- Thu, May 21$0.77 vs $0.39beat
- Fri, Feb 13$0.86 vs $0.41beat
- Thu, Oct 30$0.92 vs $0.74beat
- Thu, Aug 14$0.69 vs $0.59beat
- Thu, May 22$-0.22 vs $-0.81beat
- Wed, Feb 26$-1.18 vs $-1.38beat
Estimates and results for AAP via Financial Modeling Prep. Beating consensus says the company cleared the bar analysts set, not that the business grew.
Valuation
Project earnings forward and see what return today's price implies.
Seeded from AAP's reported EPS growth of -47.5% a year over 4 years. Historical EPS growth of -48% would project the company towards zero. Floored at -15% as a starting point.
- EPS in 5 years
- $0.33
- Implied price
- $17.27
- Return from $56.55
- -21.1% a year
To earn 15.0% a year on these assumptions you'd need to buy at $8.59 — -84.8% below today's price.
How sensitive is that answer?
Annual return across nearby assumptions. If the result is only attractive in one corner, that is the finding.
| growth \ P/E | 37 | 45 | 53 | 61 | 69 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -25.0% | -35.2% | -32.6% | -30.4% | -28.4% | -26.6% |
| -20.0% | -30.9% | -28.1% | -25.8% | -23.6% | -21.7% |
| -15.0% | -26.6% | -23.7% | -21.1% | -18.9% | -16.8% |
| -10.0% | -22.3% | -19.2% | -16.5% | -14.1% | -11.9% |
| -5.0% | -17.9% | -14.7% | -11.8% | -9.3% | -7.1% |
This is arithmetic on assumptions you chose, not a forecast or a recommendation. It ignores dividends, buybacks, share issuance and debt, and it assumes a company still earning money in 5 years. Change any input and the answer changes a lot — that sensitivity is the honest result, not a flaw in the model.
Mentions (3)
- Newszacks.com·2d ago·Neutral
Advance Auto Parts (AAP) Earnings Expected to Grow: Should You Buy? Advance Auto Parts (AAP) possesses the right combination of the two key ingredients for a likely earnings beat in its upcoming report. Get prepared with the key expectations.
View source ↗ - Newsfool.com·3d ago·Positive
Advance Auto Parts vs. Corning: Which Consumer Stock Is a Better Buy in 2026? Advance Auto Parts is focusing on its core blended-box model and professional sales to drive a business turnaround. Corning is expanding its reach in high-growth sectors like optical communications and high-speed data center infrastructure.
View source ↗ - Newszacks.com·5d ago·Positive
Here's Why Advance Auto Parts (AAP) is a Strong Value Stock Wondering how to pick strong, market-beating stocks for your investment portfolio? Look no further than the Zacks Style Scores.
View source ↗