Price (90d)
No price history yet — the daily price refresh runs once a day.
Signal Score (90d)
120Quote
Valuation & Ratios
Returns & Efficiency
Revenue & Net Income (Annual)
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Net Income | EPS |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $8.12B | $842.00M | $10.05 |
| 2024 | $8.28B | $887.00M | $10.57 |
| 2023 | $7.73B | $852.00M | $10.06 |
| 2022 | $6.77B | $898.00M | $10.55 |
| 2021 | $6.23B | $2.00B | $23.49 |
Social Signal Score
Earnings
Tue, Nov 3(in 3 months)
Consensus estimate $3.40 per share
Typical surprise +2.9% (median, so one quarter with a near-zero estimate can't distort it)
- Tue, Aug 4$2.82 vs $2.32beat
- Wed, Apr 29$2.47 vs $2.55miss
- Tue, Feb 3$3.65 vs $3.18beat
- Tue, Nov 4$2.69 vs $2.52beat
- Tue, Aug 5$2.14 vs $2.08beat
- Tue, May 6$1.81 vs $2.03miss
Estimates and results for AFG via Financial Modeling Prep. Beating consensus says the company cleared the bar analysts set, not that the business grew.
Valuation
Project earnings forward and see what return today's price implies.
Seeded from AFG's reported EPS growth of -19.1% a year over 4 years. Historical EPS growth of -19% would project the company towards zero. Floored at -15% as a starting point.
- EPS in 5 years
- $4.46
- Implied price
- $62.42
- Return from $146.29
- -15.7% a year
To earn 15.0% a year on these assumptions you'd need to buy at $31.03 — -78.8% below today's price.
How sensitive is that answer?
Annual return across nearby assumptions. If the result is only attractive in one corner, that is the finding.
| growth \ P/E | 10 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -25.0% | -30.4% | -27.8% | -25.6% | -23.6% | -21.7% |
| -20.0% | -25.8% | -23.0% | -20.6% | -18.5% | -16.5% |
| -15.0% | -21.2% | -18.2% | -15.7% | -13.4% | -11.3% |
| -10.0% | -16.5% | -13.4% | -10.7% | -8.3% | -6.1% |
| -5.0% | -11.9% | -8.6% | -5.7% | -3.2% | -0.9% |
This is arithmetic on assumptions you chose, not a forecast or a recommendation. It ignores dividends, buybacks, share issuance and debt, and it assumes a company still earning money in 5 years. Change any input and the answer changes a lot — that sensitivity is the honest result, not a flaw in the model.
Mentions (1)
- Newszacks.com·2d ago·Positive
Here's Why American Financial Group (AFG) is a Strong Momentum Stock The Zacks Style Scores offers investors a way to easily find top-rated stocks based on their investing style. Here's why you should take advantage.
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