Price (90d)
$235.54Signal Score (90d)
100Quote
Valuation & Ratios
Returns & Efficiency
Revenue & Net Income (Annual)
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Net Income | EPS |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $1.32B | $207.39M | $16.73 |
| 2024 | $1.62B | $207.19M | $16.59 |
| 2023 | $1.42B | $200.00M | $15.96 |
| 2022 | $755.02M | $178.14M | $13.99 |
| 2021 | $447.70M | $136.09M | $10.36 |
Social Signal Score
Earnings
Mon, Nov 2(in 3 months)
Consensus estimate $5.22 per share
Typical surprise +2.0% (median, so one quarter with a near-zero estimate can't distort it)
- Thu, Jul 30$5.40 vs $4.87beat
- Tue, May 5$4.74 vs $4.52beat
- Thu, Feb 19$3.66 vs $4.50miss
- Mon, Nov 3$4.52 vs $4.43beat
- Thu, Aug 7$4.32 vs $4.29beat
- Fri, May 9$4.19 vs $4.00beat
Estimates and results for AGM via Financial Modeling Prep. Beating consensus says the company cleared the bar analysts set, not that the business grew.
Valuation
Project earnings forward and see what return today's price implies.
Seeded from AGM's reported EPS growth of 12.7% a year over 4 years.
- EPS in 5 years
- $34.56
- Implied price
- $345.58
- Return from $232.70
- 8.2% a year
To earn 15.0% a year on these assumptions you'd need to buy at $171.81 — -26.2% below today's price.
How sensitive is that answer?
Annual return across nearby assumptions. If the result is only attractive in one corner, that is the finding.
| growth \ P/E | 6 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.7% | -11.0% | -5.7% | -1.4% | 2.3% | 5.5% |
| 7.7% | -6.6% | -1.1% | 3.4% | 7.3% | 10.6% |
| 12.7% | -2.3% | 3.5% | 8.2% | 12.2% | 15.8% |
| 17.7% | 2.1% | 8.1% | 13.0% | 17.2% | 20.9% |
| 22.7% | 6.4% | 12.7% | 17.8% | 22.2% | 26.0% |
This is arithmetic on assumptions you chose, not a forecast or a recommendation. It ignores dividends, buybacks, share issuance and debt, and it assumes a company still earning money in 5 years. Change any input and the answer changes a lot — that sensitivity is the honest result, not a flaw in the model.
Mentions (1)
- Newsseekingalpha.com·7d ago·Neutral
Farmer Mac: Record Growth Supports More Upside Farmer Mac reported record business volume of $37.2 billion, up 22% year over year. Revenue reached $125.2 million, while core earnings rose to $58.8 million, or $5.40 per share. Core ROE reached 18.9%, supported by a solid capital position and continued shareholder returns.
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