Price
$235.54+17.85%Social Signal Score
Analyst Ratings
5 analystsRevenue
$450.26M+438.38%Analyst Estimates
Consensus estimates, not results. Via Financial Modeling Prep.
Company Profile
- CEO
- Zachary N. Carpenter
- Sector
- Financial Services
- Industry
- Financial - Credit Services
- Employees
- 212
- Beta
- 0.99
- Country
- US
- Piotroski score
- 7 / 9 (Strong)
- Altman Z-score
- 0.38
Financials
Revenue
$450.26M+438.4%Net Income
$66.95M+240.6%EBITDA
$81.86M+113.5%Free Cash Flow
$40.40M-50.6%EPS (diluted)
$5.41+251.3%Shares Outstanding (diluted)
10.88M+2.2%Operating Expenses
$11.59MCash & Debt
$20.46BReturn of Capital
$24.65MDividend per Share
$1.60Quote
Valuation & Ratios
Returns & Efficiency
Revenue & Net Income (Annual)
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Net Income | EPS |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $1.32B | $207.39M | $16.73 |
| 2024 | $1.62B | $207.19M | $16.59 |
| 2023 | $1.42B | $200.00M | $15.96 |
| 2022 | $755.02M | $178.14M | $13.99 |
| 2021 | $447.70M | $136.09M | $10.36 |
| 2020 | $519.84M | $108.65M | $8.31 |
| 2019 | $666.03M | $109.55M | $8.76 |
| 2018 | $556.02M | $108.08M | $8.91 |
| 2017 | $418.04M | $84.48M | $6.73 |
| 2016 | $332.37M | $77.33M | $6.12 |
| 2015 | $284.96M | $68.70M | $4.33 |
| 2014 | $274.36M | $48.09M | $3.50 |
| 2013 | $299.71M | $75.33M | $6.64 |
| 2012 | $268.40M | $46.77M | $4.19 |
Valuation
Project earnings forward and see what return today's price implies.
Seeded from AGM's reported EPS growth of 11.2% a year over 13 years.
- EPS in 5 years
- $32.32
- Implied price
- $323.18
- Return from $214.79
- 8.5% a year
To earn 15.0% a year on these assumptions you'd need to buy at $160.68 — -25.2% below today's price.
How sensitive is that answer?
Annual return across nearby assumptions. If the result is only attractive in one corner, that is the finding.
| growth \ P/E | 6 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.2% | -10.8% | -5.6% | -1.2% | 2.4% | 5.6% |
| 6.2% | -6.4% | -0.9% | 3.6% | 7.5% | 10.8% |
| 11.2% | -2.0% | 3.8% | 8.5% | 12.5% | 16.1% |
| 16.2% | 2.4% | 8.4% | 13.4% | 17.6% | 21.3% |
| 21.2% | 6.8% | 13.1% | 18.3% | 22.7% | 26.5% |
This is arithmetic on assumptions you chose, not a forecast or a recommendation. It ignores dividends, buybacks, share issuance and debt, and it assumes a company still earning money in 5 years. Change any input and the answer changes a lot — that sensitivity is the honest result, not a flaw in the model.
Signal Score (90d)
93-6.67%Social Signal Score
Mentions (4)
- Newsseekingalpha.com·8d ago·Neutral
Federal Agricultural Mortgage: Locking In 7.28% With Preferred Shares Federal Agricultural Mortgage (AGM) preferred shares offer compelling risk/reward, with Series G yielding 7.15% and strong dividend coverage. AGM's Q2 net income rose to $67M, with core EPS up 13.5% year-over-year and preferred dividends covered at a low 12% payout ratio. Loan loss provisions and past due loans have increased, but net charge-offs remain limited and loan-to-value ratios are historically below 50%.
View source ↗ - Newszacks.com·13d ago·Negative
Is the Options Market Predicting a Spike in Federal Agricultural Mortgage Stock? Investors need to pay close attention to AGM stock based on the movements in the options market lately.
View source ↗ - Newszacks.com·18d ago·Neutral
3 Mortgage & Related Services Stocks to Watch Amid Industry Headwinds While the high mortgage rates are likely to hurt the Zacks Mortgage & Related Services industry, companies like RKT, AGM and TREE are poised to navigate the challenges.
View source ↗ - Newsseekingalpha.com·59d ago·Neutral
Farmer Mac: Record Growth Supports More Upside Farmer Mac reported record business volume of $37.2 billion, up 22% year over year. Revenue reached $125.2 million, while core earnings rose to $58.8 million, or $5.40 per share. Core ROE reached 18.9%, supported by a solid capital position and continued shareholder returns.
View source ↗
Earnings
Mon, Nov 2(in 4 weeks)
Consensus estimate $5.28 per share
Typical surprise +2.0% (median, so one quarter with a near-zero estimate can't distort it)
- Thu, Jul 30$5.40 vs $4.87beat
- Tue, May 5$4.74 vs $4.52beat
- Thu, Feb 19$3.66 vs $4.50miss
- Mon, Nov 3$4.52 vs $4.43beat
- Thu, Aug 7$4.32 vs $4.29beat
- Fri, May 9$4.19 vs $4.00beat
Estimates and results for AGM via Financial Modeling Prep. Beating consensus says the company cleared the bar analysts set, not that the business grew.
Insider trading
Open-market buys and sells by AGM officers and directors.
- Bought
- —
- Sold
- $1.2m
0 trades
2 trades
- Ramsey Gregorysold
- Nordholm Bradford Tsold
98 further Form 4 entries are share awards, option exercises or shares withheld for tax. Those are compensation, not trades, so they are excluded above. Buying is the stronger signal: an insider spends their own money for one reason. Selling has many innocent explanations — tax, diversifying, a house — so it says far less than it appears to. Via SEC filings.
Congress trades
No disclosed congressional trades in AGM.
Self-reported filings, amounts as brackets. Via Senate/House disclosures.