Price
No data yet.
Social Signal Score
Analyst Ratings
6 analystsRevenue
$91.97M-6.35%Analyst Estimates
Consensus estimates, not results. Via Financial Modeling Prep.
Company Profile
- CEO
- Gerry Janelle Frost
- Sector
- Financial Services
- Industry
- Insurance - Specialty
- Employees
- 366
- Beta
- 0.26
- Country
- US
- Piotroski score
- 5 / 9 (Middling)
- Altman Z-score
- 0.24
Financials
Revenue
$91.97M-6.3%Net Income
$14.60M-18.4%EBITDA
$-10.16M-138.6%Free Cash Flow
$1.79M-93.2%EPS (diluted)
$0.78-16.1%Shares Outstanding (diluted)
18.80M-2.1%Operating Expenses
$0.00Cash & Debt
$65.48MReturn of Capital
$13.25MDividend per Share
$0.41Quote
Valuation & Ratios
Returns & Efficiency
Revenue & Net Income (Annual)
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Net Income | EPS |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $317.25M | $47.15M | $2.48 |
| 2024 | $309.11M | $55.44M | $2.91 |
| 2023 | $306.91M | $62.11M | $3.24 |
| 2022 | $294.69M | $55.60M | $2.89 |
| 2021 | $316.01M | $65.76M | $3.40 |
| 2020 | $339.50M | $86.60M | $4.49 |
| 2019 | $370.37M | $92.69M | $4.82 |
| 2018 | $377.75M | $71.63M | $3.73 |
| 2017 | $375.21M | $46.23M | $2.41 |
| 2016 | $396.66M | $77.86M | $4.08 |
| 2015 | $401.62M | $70.46M | $3.72 |
| 2014 | $404.02M | $53.67M | $2.88 |
| 2013 | $356.33M | $43.64M | $2.37 |
| 2012 | $321.25M | $29.35M | $1.62 |
Valuation
Project earnings forward and see what return today's price implies.
Seeded from AMSF's reported EPS growth of 3.3% a year over 13 years.
- EPS in 5 years
- $2.92
- Implied price
- $43.83
- Return from $23.28
- 13.5% a year
To earn 15.0% a year on these assumptions you'd need to buy at $21.79 — -6.4% below today's price.
How sensitive is that answer?
Annual return across nearby assumptions. If the result is only attractive in one corner, that is the finding.
| growth \ P/E | 11 | 13 | 15 | 17 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -6.7% | -3.7% | -0.4% | 2.5% | 5.1% | 7.5% |
| -1.7% | 1.5% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 13.2% |
| 3.3% | 6.7% | 10.3% | 13.5% | 16.4% | 19.0% |
| 8.3% | 11.8% | 15.6% | 19.0% | 22.0% | 24.7% |
| 13.3% | 17.0% | 21.0% | 24.5% | 27.6% | 30.5% |
This is arithmetic on assumptions you chose, not a forecast or a recommendation. It ignores dividends, buybacks, share issuance and debt, and it assumes a company still earning money in 5 years. Change any input and the answer changes a lot — that sensitivity is the honest result, not a flaw in the model.
Signal Score (90d)
125+25.00%Social Signal Score
Mentions (2)
- Newszacks.com·5d ago·Positive
Here's Why Investors Should Stay Neutral on AMSF Stock for Now AMERISAFE's premium gains and strong retention support growth, but rising claims costs and declining rates create challenges for investors.
View source ↗ - Newszacks.com·46d ago·Neutral
Why Is Amerisafe (AMSF) Down 16% Since Last Earnings Report? Amerisafe (AMSF) reported earnings 30 days ago. What's next for the stock?
View source ↗
Earnings
Wed, Oct 28(in 3 weeks)
Consensus estimate $0.49 per share
Typical surprise -3.6% (median, so one quarter with a near-zero estimate can't distort it)
- Tue, Jul 21$0.44 vs $0.52miss
- Wed, Apr 22$0.50 vs $0.54miss
- Wed, Feb 25$0.51 vs $0.57miss
- Wed, Oct 29$0.55 vs $0.55beat
- Thu, Jul 24$0.53 vs $0.55miss
- Tue, Apr 29$0.60 vs $0.59beat
Estimates and results for AMSF via Financial Modeling Prep. Beating consensus says the company cleared the bar analysts set, not that the business grew.
Insider trading
Open-market buys and sells by AMSF officers and directors.
- Bought
- $44k
- Sold
- $331k
1 trade
4 trades
- Omiridis Anastasiossold
- Omiridis Anastasiossold
- Omiridis Anastasiossold
- Brown Michael Jbought
- Omiridis Anastasiossold
95 further Form 4 entries are share awards, option exercises or shares withheld for tax. Those are compensation, not trades, so they are excluded above. Buying is the stronger signal: an insider spends their own money for one reason. Selling has many innocent explanations — tax, diversifying, a house — so it says far less than it appears to. Via SEC filings.
Congress trades
- Josh S. Gottheimerhouse · NJ05 · disclosed Jun 8, 2024 (10d later)Sell$1,001 - $15,000
- Greg Gianfortehouse · MT00 · disclosed Mar 6, 2019 (42d later)Sell$15,001 - $50,000
Self-reported filings, amounts as brackets. Via Senate/House disclosures.
