Price
No data yet.
Social Signal Score
Revenue
$91.97M+25.94%Analyst Estimates
Consensus estimates, not results. Via Financial Modeling Prep.
Company Profile
- CEO
- Gerry Janelle Frost
- Sector
- Financial Services
- Industry
- Insurance - Specialty
- Employees
- 362
- Beta
- 0.28
- Country
- US
- Piotroski score
- 5 / 9 (Middling)
- Altman Z-score
- 0.27
Financials
Revenue
$91.97M+25.9%Net Income
$14.60M-23.7%EBITDA
$-10.16M-140.7%Free Cash Flow
$1.79M-45.5%EPS (diluted)
$0.78-21.2%Shares Outstanding (diluted)
18.80M-3.2%Operating Expenses
$0.00Cash & Debt
$65.48MReturn of Capital
$13.25MDividend per Share
$0.41Quote
Valuation & Ratios
Returns & Efficiency
Revenue & Net Income (Annual)
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Net Income | EPS |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $317.25M | $47.15M | $2.48 |
| 2024 | $309.11M | $55.44M | $2.91 |
| 2023 | $306.91M | $62.11M | $3.24 |
| 2022 | $294.69M | $55.60M | $2.89 |
| 2021 | $316.01M | $65.76M | $3.40 |
| 2020 | $339.50M | $86.60M | $4.49 |
| 2019 | $370.37M | $92.69M | $4.82 |
| 2018 | $377.75M | $71.63M | $3.73 |
| 2017 | $375.21M | $46.23M | $2.41 |
| 2016 | $396.66M | $77.86M | $4.08 |
| 2015 | $401.62M | $70.46M | $3.72 |
| 2014 | $404.02M | $53.67M | $2.88 |
| 2013 | $356.33M | $43.64M | $2.37 |
| 2012 | $321.25M | $29.35M | $1.62 |
Valuation
Project earnings forward and see what return today's price implies.
Seeded from AMSF's reported EPS growth of 3.3% a year over 13 years.
- EPS in 5 years
- $2.92
- Implied price
- $43.83
- Return from $25.76
- 11.2% a year
To earn 15.0% a year on these assumptions you'd need to buy at $21.79 — -15.4% below today's price.
How sensitive is that answer?
Annual return across nearby assumptions. If the result is only attractive in one corner, that is the finding.
| growth \ P/E | 11 | 13 | 15 | 17 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -6.7% | -5.6% | -2.4% | 0.4% | 3.0% | 5.3% |
| -1.7% | -0.5% | 2.8% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 11.0% |
| 3.3% | 4.5% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 14.0% | 16.6% |
| 8.3% | 9.6% | 13.3% | 16.6% | 19.6% | 22.2% |
| 13.3% | 14.6% | 18.5% | 22.0% | 25.1% | 27.9% |
This is arithmetic on assumptions you chose, not a forecast or a recommendation. It ignores dividends, buybacks, share issuance and debt, and it assumes a company still earning money in 5 years. Change any input and the answer changes a lot — that sensitivity is the honest result, not a flaw in the model.
Signal Score (90d)
100Social Signal Score
Mentions (1)
- Newszacks.com·6h ago·Neutral
Why Is Amerisafe (AMSF) Down 16% Since Last Earnings Report? Amerisafe (AMSF) reported earnings 30 days ago. What's next for the stock?
View source ↗
Earnings
Wed, Oct 28(in 2 months)
Consensus estimate $0.47 per share
Typical surprise -3.6% (median, so one quarter with a near-zero estimate can't distort it)
- Tue, Jul 21$0.44 vs $0.52miss
- Wed, Apr 22$0.50 vs $0.54miss
- Wed, Feb 25$0.51 vs $0.57miss
- Wed, Oct 29$0.55 vs $0.55beat
- Thu, Jul 24$0.53 vs $0.55miss
- Tue, Apr 29$0.60 vs $0.59beat
Estimates and results for AMSF via Financial Modeling Prep. Beating consensus says the company cleared the bar analysts set, not that the business grew.
Insider trading
Open-market buys and sells by AMSF officers and directors.
- Bought
- $44k
- Sold
- $331k
1 trade
4 trades
- Omiridis Anastasiossold
- Omiridis Anastasiossold
- Omiridis Anastasiossold
- Brown Michael Jbought
- Omiridis Anastasiossold
95 further Form 4 entries are share awards, option exercises or shares withheld for tax. Those are compensation, not trades, so they are excluded above. Buying is the stronger signal: an insider spends their own money for one reason. Selling has many innocent explanations — tax, diversifying, a house — so it says far less than it appears to. Via SEC filings.