Price (90d)
$5.90Signal Score (90d)
120Quote
Valuation & Ratios
Returns & Efficiency
Revenue & Net Income (Annual)
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Net Income | EPS |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $335.29M | $8.57M | $0.18 |
| 2024 | $345.07M | $5.85M | $0.11 |
| 2023 | $334.50M | $-5.56M | $-0.15 |
| 2022 | $408.54M | $43.86M | $0.85 |
| 2021 | $340.44M | $36.12M | $0.84 |
Social Signal Score
Earnings
Thu, Nov 5(in 3 months)
Consensus estimate $0.10 per share
Typical surprise -60.0% (median, so one quarter with a near-zero estimate can't distort it)
- Thu, Aug 6$-0.09 vs $0.07miss
- Thu, May 7$-0.07 vs $0.09miss
- Thu, Mar 5$0.16 vs $0.15beat
- Thu, Nov 6$0.04 vs $0.10miss
- Wed, Aug 6$0.20 vs $0.05beat
- Wed, May 7$-0.05 vs $0.13miss
Estimates and results for ASLE via Financial Modeling Prep. Beating consensus says the company cleared the bar analysts set, not that the business grew.
Valuation
Project earnings forward and see what return today's price implies.
Seeded from ASLE's reported EPS growth of -32.0% a year over 4 years. Historical EPS growth of -32% would project the company towards zero. Floored at -15% as a starting point.
- EPS in 5 years
- $0.08
- Implied price
- $3.22
- Return from $5.87
- -11.3% a year
To earn 15.0% a year on these assumptions you'd need to buy at $1.60 — -72.7% below today's price.
How sensitive is that answer?
Annual return across nearby assumptions. If the result is only attractive in one corner, that is the finding.
| growth \ P/E | 28 | 34 | 40 | 46 | 52 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -25.0% | -27.1% | -24.2% | -21.7% | -19.5% | -17.5% |
| -20.0% | -22.3% | -19.2% | -16.5% | -14.1% | -12.0% |
| -15.0% | -17.4% | -14.1% | -11.3% | -8.8% | -6.5% |
| -10.0% | -12.5% | -9.1% | -6.1% | -3.4% | -1.0% |
| -5.0% | -7.7% | -4.0% | -0.9% | 2.0% | 4.5% |
This is arithmetic on assumptions you chose, not a forecast or a recommendation. It ignores dividends, buybacks, share issuance and debt, and it assumes a company still earning money in 5 years. Change any input and the answer changes a lot — that sensitivity is the honest result, not a flaw in the model.
Mentions (1)
- Newsseekingalpha.com·6d ago·Positive
AerSale: MRO Growth Must Overcome Poor Execution AerSale remains a high-risk buy with a revised price target of $8.33–$9.36, reflecting discounted upside due to poor execution. Q2 results showed sharply lower revenue and EBITDA, driven by absent flight equipment sales and underutilized MRO capacity, highlighting execution and timing risks. ASLE pivots to recurring lease and MRO revenue, but margin improvement and cash conversion from its asset base are essential for future upside.
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