Price
No data yet.
Social Signal Score
Analyst Ratings
1 analystRevenue
$30.49M+35507.61%Analyst Estimates
Consensus estimates, not results. Via Financial Modeling Prep.
Company Profile
- CEO
- Sam Davis
- Sector
- Industrials
- Industry
- Security & Protection Services
- Employees
- 235
- Beta
- 0.35
- Country
- US
- Piotroski score
- 1 / 9 (Weak)
- Altman Z-score
- -1.37
Financials
Revenue
$30.49M+35507.6%Net Income
$-498.0KEBITDA
$10.94MFree Cash Flow
$-18.47MEPS (diluted)
$-0.13Shares Outstanding (diluted)
56.44M+30.9%Operating Expenses
$5.31MCash & Debt
$7.24MRevenue by Segment (annual)
$122.83MQuote
Valuation & Ratios
Returns & Efficiency
Revenue & Net Income (Annual)
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Net Income | EPS |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $122.83M | $4.14M | $-0.42 |
| 2024 | $98.61M | $-15.57M | $-0.81 |
| 2023 | $66.71M | $-77.36M | $-1.71 |
| 2022 | $46.39M | $-42.13M | $-7.55 |
| 2021 | $39.38M | $-6.54M | $-0.51 |
| 2020 | $13.41M | $-12.24M | $-0.28 |
Valuation
Project earnings forward and see what return today's price implies.
EPS was negative in at least one boundary year, so a compound growth rate can't be computed from it. Set your own assumption.
- EPS in 5 years
- $0.11
- Implied price
- $2.02
- Return from $0.68
- 24.4% a year
To earn 15.0% a year on these assumptions you'd need to buy at $1.00 — today's price is already 32.4% below that.
How sensitive is that answer?
Annual return across nearby assumptions. If the result is only attractive in one corner, that is the finding.
| growth \ P/E | 12 | 15 | 18 | 21 | 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -2.0% | 4.1% | 8.8% | 12.8% | 16.4% | 19.5% |
| 3.0% | 9.4% | 14.4% | 18.6% | 22.3% | 25.6% |
| 8.0% | 14.7% | 19.9% | 24.4% | 28.3% | 31.7% |
| 13.0% | 20.0% | 25.5% | 30.1% | 34.2% | 37.8% |
| 18.0% | 25.3% | 31.0% | 35.9% | 40.1% | 43.9% |
This is arithmetic on assumptions you chose, not a forecast or a recommendation. It ignores dividends, buybacks, share issuance and debt, and it assumes a company still earning money in 5 years. Change any input and the answer changes a lot — that sensitivity is the honest result, not a flaw in the model.
Signal Score (90d)
80-27.27%Social Signal Score
Mentions (3)
- Newsglobenewswire.com·5h ago·Negative
…ion King Air 350 BELGRADE, Mont., Oct. 15, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. (“Bridger,” “Bridger Aerospace” or the “Company”) (NASDAQ: BAER, BAERW), one of the nation's leading aerial firefighting companies, today announced it has been awarded a 220-day task order by the U.S. Department of the Interior (the “DOI”) to provide 2027 air attack flight services in support of the U.S. Wildland Fire Service.
View source ↗ - Newsglobenewswire.com·42d ago·Neutral
…re Intelligence BELGRADE, Mont., Sept. 03, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. (“Bridger,” “Bridger Aerospace” or the “Company”) (NASDAQ: BAER, BAERW), one of the nation's leading aerial firefighting companies, today announced it is partnering with OroraTech USA, a leader in space-based thermal intelligence and wildfire management. The companies are working together to integrate OroraTech's wildfire detection, mapping, and fire spread simulation capabilities into Brid…
View source ↗ - Newsmarketbeat.com·64d ago·Positive
Bridger Aerospace Expands Super Scooper Fleet as Wildfire Contracts Extend Bridger Aerospace Group NASDAQ: BAER is expanding its aerial firefighting fleet and pursuing longer-term government contracts as wildfire activity extends further into the year, Chief Executive Officer Sam Davis said during a discussion hosted by Canaccord Genuity Senior Aerospace and Defense Technology Analyst Austin Moeller.
View source ↗
Earnings
Thu, Nov 5(in 3 weeks)
Consensus estimate $0.61 per share
Typical surprise -5.9% (median, so one quarter with a near-zero estimate can't distort it)
- Thu, Aug 6$-0.13 vs $-0.03miss
- Wed, May 6$-0.69 vs $-0.37miss
- Thu, Mar 5$-0.40 vs $-0.30miss
- Thu, Nov 6$0.37 vs $0.32beat
- Thu, Aug 7$-0.12 vs $-0.28beat
- Thu, May 8$-0.41 vs $-0.50beat
Estimates and results for BAER via Financial Modeling Prep. Beating consensus says the company cleared the bar analysts set, not that the business grew.
Insider trading
Open-market buys and sells by BAER officers and directors.
- Bought
- $1.1m
- Sold
- $12.5m
11 trades
21 trades
- Kelter Jeffrey Ebought
- Kelter Jeffrey Ebought
- Kelter Jeffrey Ebought
- Kelter Jeffrey Ebought
- Kelter Jeffrey Ebought
- Kelter Jeffrey Ebought
- Kelter Jeffrey Ebought
- Kelter Jeffrey Ebought
68 further Form 4 entries are share awards, option exercises or shares withheld for tax. Those are compensation, not trades, so they are excluded above. Buying is the stronger signal: an insider spends their own money for one reason. Selling has many innocent explanations — tax, diversifying, a house — so it says far less than it appears to. Via SEC filings.
Congress trades
No disclosed congressional trades in BAER.
Self-reported filings, amounts as brackets. Via Senate/House disclosures.
