Price (90d)
$90.41Signal Score (90d)
100Quote
Valuation & Ratios
Returns & Efficiency
Revenue & Net Income (Annual)
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Net Income | EPS |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $51.26B | $9.02B | $3.56 |
| 2024 | $55.66B | $7.90B | $3.12 |
| 2023 | $53.82B | $12.92B | $5.10 |
| 2022 | $65.10B | $30.90B | $8.00 |
| 2021 | $57.26B | $11.30B | $4.56 |
Social Signal Score
Earnings
Mon, Aug 17(tomorrow)
Consensus estimate $2.67 per share
Typical surprise -7.1% (median, so one quarter with a near-zero estimate can't distort it)
- Mon, Feb 16$2.24 vs $2.41miss
- Mon, Aug 18$2.12 vs $2.09beat
- Mon, Feb 17$1.74 vs $1.98miss
- Mon, Aug 26$2.75 vs $2.75beat
- Wed, Apr 17$0.37 vs $2.61miss
- Mon, Feb 19$1.34 vs $2.61miss
Estimates and results for BHP via Financial Modeling Prep. Beating consensus says the company cleared the bar analysts set, not that the business grew.
Valuation
Project earnings forward and see what return today's price implies.
Seeded from BHP's reported EPS growth of -6.0% a year over 4 years.
- EPS in 5 years
- $2.61
- Implied price
- $36.53
- Return from $86.78
- -15.9% a year
To earn 15.0% a year on these assumptions you'd need to buy at $18.16 — -79.1% below today's price.
How sensitive is that answer?
Annual return across nearby assumptions. If the result is only attractive in one corner, that is the finding.
| growth \ P/E | 10 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -16.0% | -29.7% | -27.1% | -24.8% | -22.8% | -21.0% |
| -11.0% | -25.5% | -22.8% | -20.4% | -18.2% | -16.3% |
| -6.0% | -21.4% | -18.4% | -15.9% | -13.6% | -11.6% |
| -1.0% | -17.2% | -14.1% | -11.4% | -9.0% | -6.8% |
| 4.0% | -13.0% | -9.8% | -6.9% | -4.4% | -2.1% |
This is arithmetic on assumptions you chose, not a forecast or a recommendation. It ignores dividends, buybacks, share issuance and debt, and it assumes a company still earning money in 5 years. Change any input and the answer changes a lot — that sensitivity is the honest result, not a flaw in the model.
Mentions (1)
- Newsreuters.com·6d ago·Neutral
More workers join strike at BHP's Port Hedland iron ore operations More workers joined a strike at BHP's Port Hedland operations in Western Australia on Sunday, a union spokesperson said, in the first major industrial action at the iron-ore export hub in a quarter-century.
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