Price
No data yet.
Social Signal Score
Analyst Ratings
18 analystsRevenue
$380.71M+197.55%Analyst Estimates
Consensus estimates, not results. Via Financial Modeling Prep.
Company Profile
- CEO
- Timothy Johnson
- Sector
- Real Estate
- Industry
- REIT - Mortgage
- Employees
- 0
- Beta
- 0.94
- Country
- US
- Piotroski score
- 7 / 9 (Strong)
- Altman Z-score
- -0.35
Financials
Revenue
$380.71M+197.5%Net Income
$-81.31M-225.5%EBITDA
$270.09M+318.6%Free Cash Flow
$-169.73M-364.1%EPS (diluted)
$-0.48-169.6%Shares Outstanding (diluted)
168.96M+79.6%Operating Expenses
$14.92MCash & Debt
$432.83MReturn of Capital
$82.31MDividend per Share
$0.47Quote
Valuation & Ratios
Returns & Efficiency
Revenue & Net Income (Annual)
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Net Income | EPS |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $1.52B | $109.57M | $0.64 |
| 2024 | $1.77B | $-204.09M | $-1.17 |
| 2023 | $2.01B | $246.56M | $1.43 |
| 2022 | $1.32B | $248.64M | $1.46 |
| 2021 | $847.73M | $419.19M | $2.77 |
| 2020 | $775.79M | $137.67M | $0.97 |
| 2019 | $882.87M | $305.57M | $2.35 |
| 2018 | $756.67M | $285.08M | $2.50 |
| 2017 | $537.08M | $217.63M | $2.27 |
| 2016 | $497.18M | $238.30M | $2.53 |
| 2015 | $410.63M | $196.83M | $2.41 |
| 2014 | $184.77M | $90.05M | $1.86 |
| 2013 | $53.16M | $15.03M | $0.81 |
| 2012 | $40.94M | $181.29M | $77.16 |
Valuation
Project earnings forward and see what return today's price implies.
Seeded from BXMT's reported EPS growth of -30.8% a year over 13 years. Historical EPS growth of -31% would project the company towards zero. Floored at -15% as a starting point.
- EPS in 5 years
- $0.28
- Implied price
- $8.53
- Return from $10.90
- -4.8% a year
To earn 15.0% a year on these assumptions you'd need to buy at $4.24 — -61.1% below today's price.
How sensitive is that answer?
Annual return across nearby assumptions. If the result is only attractive in one corner, that is the finding.
| growth \ P/E | 20 | 25 | 30 | 35 | 40 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -25.0% | -22.5% | -19.0% | -16.0% | -13.4% | -11.0% |
| -20.0% | -17.4% | -13.6% | -10.4% | -7.6% | -5.1% |
| -15.0% | -12.2% | -8.2% | -4.8% | -1.8% | 0.9% |
| -10.0% | -7.0% | -2.8% | 0.8% | 4.0% | 6.8% |
| -5.0% | -1.9% | 2.6% | 6.4% | 9.8% | 12.7% |
This is arithmetic on assumptions you chose, not a forecast or a recommendation. It ignores dividends, buybacks, share issuance and debt, and it assumes a company still earning money in 5 years. Change any input and the answer changes a lot — that sensitivity is the honest result, not a flaw in the model.
Signal Score (90d)
85-15.00%Social Signal Score
Mentions (3)
- Newsseekingalpha.com·9d ago·Negative
BXMT: Down -35% This Year, What Is Next Blackstone Mortgage Trust faces continued pressure from CECL reserves, posting a net loss of $81M and underperforming CRE REIT peers. BXMT's reported book value of $19.30/share is not credible; market-implied value is closer to $12.50/share, reflecting skepticism about asset marks. The REIT's distributable EPS consistently lags its dividend, signaling an imminent dividend cut to bring yield below 10%-11%.
View source ↗ - Newsfool.com·49d ago·Positive
Director's Big Bet: Blackstone Mortgage Trust Leader Buys 10,000 Shares Henry N. Nassau's $143,400 purchase expands his direct stake to 218,523 shares worth $3.15 million, signaling confidence despite the company's issues.
View source ↗ - Newszacks.com·55d ago·Neutral
New Strong Sell Stocks for August 12th BXMT, CHRD and UUUU have been added to the Zacks Rank #5 (Strong Sell) List on August 12, 2026.
View source ↗
Earnings
Wed, Oct 28(in 3 weeks)
Consensus estimate $0.26 per share
Typical surprise +28.9% (median, so one quarter with a near-zero estimate can't distort it)
- Thu, Jul 30$0.31 vs $0.41miss
- Wed, Apr 29$0.49 vs $0.38beat
- Wed, Feb 11$0.51 vs $0.22beat
- Wed, Oct 29$0.24 vs $0.19beat
- Wed, Jul 30$0.19 vs $0.20miss
- Wed, Apr 30$0.17 vs $0.01beat
Estimates and results for BXMT via Financial Modeling Prep. Beating consensus says the company cleared the bar analysts set, not that the business grew.
Insider trading
Open-market buys and sells by BXMT officers and directors.
- Bought
- $1.8m
- Sold
- $856k
5 trades
32 trades
- Pena Fernando Austinsold
- Urbaszek Marcinsold
- Pena Fernando Austinsold
- Nassau Henry Nbought
- Pena Fernando Austinsold
- Pena Fernando Austinsold
- Urbaszek Marcinsold
- Pena Fernando Austinsold
63 further Form 4 entries are share awards, option exercises or shares withheld for tax. Those are compensation, not trades, so they are excluded above. Buying is the stronger signal: an insider spends their own money for one reason. Selling has many innocent explanations — tax, diversifying, a house — so it says far less than it appears to. Via SEC filings.
Congress trades
- Virginia Ann Foxxhouse · NC05 · disclosed Feb 4, 2022 (17d later)Buy$1,001 - $15,000
- Virginia Ann Foxxhouse · NC05 · disclosed Feb 4, 2022 (11d later)Sell$50,001 - $100,000
- Virginia Ann Foxxhouse · NC05 · disclosed Dec 3, 2021 (7d later)Buy$15,001 - $50,000
- Virginia Ann Foxxhouse · NC05 · disclosed Sep 3, 2021 (25d later)Buy$50,001 - $100,000
- Alan Lowenthalhouse · CA47 · disclosed Jun 25, 2020 (10d later)Sell$1,001 - $15,000
- Alan Lowenthalhouse · CA47 · disclosed Apr 18, 2020 (9d later)Sell$1,001 - $15,000
- Bob Gibbshouse · OH07 · disclosed Jun 18, 2019 (1d later)Buy$1,001 - $15,000
Self-reported filings, amounts as brackets. Via Senate/House disclosures.