Price (90d)
$126.78Signal Score (90d)
70Quote
Valuation & Ratios
Returns & Efficiency
Revenue & Net Income (Annual)
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Net Income | EPS |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $58.71B | $7.99B | $6.36 |
| 2024 | $54.61B | $9.22B | $7.82 |
| 2023 | $56.05B | $10.92B | $9.08 |
| 2022 | $78.58B | $18.62B | $14.62 |
| 2021 | $46.06B | $8.08B | $6.10 |
Social Signal Score
Earnings
Thu, Nov 5(in 3 months)
Consensus estimate $2.33 per share
Typical surprise +9.9% (median, so one quarter with a near-zero estimate can't distort it)
- Thu, Aug 6$3.24 vs $2.90beat
- Thu, Apr 30$1.89 vs $1.72beat
- Thu, Feb 5$1.02 vs $1.07miss
- Thu, Nov 6$1.61 vs $1.41beat
- Thu, Aug 7$1.42 vs $1.35beat
- Thu, May 8$2.09 vs $2.05beat
Estimates and results for COP via Financial Modeling Prep. Beating consensus says the company cleared the bar analysts set, not that the business grew.
Valuation
Project earnings forward and see what return today's price implies.
Seeded from COP's reported EPS growth of 1.0% a year over 4 years.
- EPS in 5 years
- $6.71
- Implied price
- $100.58
- Return from $126.78
- -4.5% a year
To earn 15.0% a year on these assumptions you'd need to buy at $50.01 — -60.6% below today's price.
How sensitive is that answer?
Annual return across nearby assumptions. If the result is only attractive in one corner, that is the finding.
| growth \ P/E | 11 | 13 | 15 | 17 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -9.0% | -19.2% | -16.4% | -14.0% | -11.8% | -9.8% |
| -4.0% | -14.7% | -11.8% | -9.3% | -7.0% | -4.9% |
| 1.0% | -10.3% | -7.2% | -4.5% | -2.1% | 0.1% |
| 6.0% | -5.8% | -2.6% | 0.2% | 2.7% | 5.1% |
| 11.0% | -1.4% | 2.0% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 10.0% |
This is arithmetic on assumptions you chose, not a forecast or a recommendation. It ignores dividends, buybacks, share issuance and debt, and it assumes a company still earning money in 5 years. Change any input and the answer changes a lot — that sensitivity is the honest result, not a flaw in the model.
Mentions (9)
- 4chan /biz/biz·6h ago·Positive
…le basins as they use the windfall from high crude prices to boost shareholder returns and pay down debt rather than accelerate production growth. >Chevron Corp. and ConocoPhillips cut capital expenditure in the Lower 48 by 10% in the first six months of the year while Occidental Petroleum Corp. cut spending in the Permian Basin by 20% in that period, according to earnings reports. APA Corp., Matador Resources Co., and HighPeak Energy Inc. are also on track to spend considerably less on drilling…
View source ↗ - 4chan /biz/biz·2d ago·Neutral
>>62587264 COP
View source ↗ - Newszacks.com·3d ago·Positive
ConocoPhillips (COP) is a Top-Ranked Growth Stock: Should You Buy? Wondering how to pick strong, market-beating stocks for your investment portfolio? Look no further than the Zacks Style Scores.
View source ↗ - Newsseekingalpha.com·5d ago·Positive
ConocoPhillips: A Revised Outlook Following Q2 Earnings (Rating Upgrade) ConocoPhillips is upgraded to BUY, projecting high-teen CAGR through 2029, driven by robust free cash flow and favorable commodity trends. Q2 FCF surged 75% over Q1, with YTD realized prices aligning with five-year historical averages, supporting the 'higher for longer' oil thesis. Permian natural gas headwinds are expected to ease as new pipelines come online in 2H 2026, enhancing COP's earnings resilience.
View source ↗ - Newsreuters.com·5d ago·Positive
New ConocoPhillips CEO inherits $7 billion cash flow pledge riding on Alaska oil project Andy O'Brien will succeed longtime ConocoPhillips CEO Ryan Lance next month and will inherit a major Alaska oil project to complete, costs to control and a share price that has recently lagged peers, analysts and investors said.
View source ↗ - Newsseekingalpha.com·7d ago·Positive
ConocoPhillips: Prepare For Phase II Of The Biggest Oil Bull Market Of Your Life (Rating Upgrade) ConocoPhillips is upgraded from Hold to Buy, driven by robust Q2 results and a constructive oil price outlook. COP's tier-1 Lower-48 shale assets are supported by strong operational and financial performance. The CEO transition to Andrew O'Brien signals strategic continuity, with no major shifts expected before Willow comes online in 2029.
View source ↗ - Newsmarketbeat.com·7d ago·Neutral
ConocoPhillips Q2 Earnings Call Highlights ConocoPhillips NYSE: COP reported second-quarter 2026 production above the high end of its guidance range, supported by record Permian Basin output, while also announcing that Chairman and Chief Executive Officer Ryan Lance will retire from the CEO role effective Sept. 1.
View source ↗ - News (Finnhub)Reuters·8d ago·Neutral
ConocoPhillips says any Qatar LNG project delays likely limited to months - Reuters ConocoPhillips says any Qatar LNG project delays likely limited to months Reuters
View source ↗ - News (RSS)ft·9d ago·Neutral
ConocoPhillips chief Ryan Lance to step down after 14 years Third-largest US oil and gas company changes leadership as profits climb on war-driven price surge
View source ↗