Price
No data yet.
Social Signal Score
Revenue
$4.98B-21.56%Analyst Estimates
Consensus estimates, not results. Via Financial Modeling Prep.
Company Profile
- CEO
- Michael C. Creedon Jr.
- Sector
- Consumer Defensive
- Industry
- Discount Stores
- Employees
- 150,000
- Beta
- 0.67
- Country
- US
- Piotroski score
- 8 / 9 (Strong)
- Altman Z-score
- 3.70
Financials
Revenue
$4.98B-21.6%Net Income
$347.30M+23.0%EBITDA
$462.40M-20.0%Free Cash Flow
$391.10MEPS (diluted)
$1.76+43.1%Shares Outstanding (diluted)
197.40M-14.0%Operating Expenses
$1.38BCash & Debt
$1.01BReturn of Capital
$585.80MRevenue by Segment (annual)
$19.40BQuote
Valuation & Ratios
Returns & Efficiency
Revenue & Net Income (Annual)
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Net Income | EPS |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $19.41B | $1.28B | $6.22 |
| 2024 | $17.58B | $-3.03B | $-14.05 |
| 2023 | $16.78B | $-998.40M | $-4.55 |
| 2022 | $15.41B | $1.62B | $7.24 |
| 2021 | $26.32B | $1.33B | $5.83 |
| 2020 | $25.51B | $1.34B | $5.68 |
| 2019 | $23.61B | $827.00M | $3.49 |
| 2018 | $22.82B | $-1.59B | $-6.69 |
| 2017 | $22.25B | $1.71B | $7.24 |
| 2016 | $20.72B | $896.20M | $3.80 |
| 2015 | $15.50B | $282.40M | $1.27 |
| 2014 | $8.60B | $645.60M | $3.13 |
| 2013 | $7.84B | $596.70M | $2.74 |
| 2012 | $7.39B | $619.30M | $2.70 |
Valuation
Project earnings forward and see what return today's price implies.
Seeded from DLTR's reported EPS growth of 6.6% a year over 13 years.
- EPS in 5 years
- $8.58
- Implied price
- $162.99
- Return from $131.84
- 4.3% a year
To earn 15.0% a year on these assumptions you'd need to buy at $81.03 — -38.5% below today's price.
How sensitive is that answer?
Annual return across nearby assumptions. If the result is only attractive in one corner, that is the finding.
| growth \ P/E | 13 | 16 | 19 | 22 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -3.4% | -12.4% | -8.6% | -5.5% | -2.6% | -0.1% |
| 1.6% | -7.8% | -3.9% | -0.6% | 2.4% | 5.0% |
| 6.6% | -3.3% | 0.8% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 10.2% |
| 11.6% | 1.2% | 5.5% | 9.2% | 12.5% | 15.4% |
| 16.6% | 5.8% | 10.3% | 14.1% | 17.5% | 20.6% |
This is arithmetic on assumptions you chose, not a forecast or a recommendation. It ignores dividends, buybacks, share issuance and debt, and it assumes a company still earning money in 5 years. Change any input and the answer changes a lot — that sensitivity is the honest result, not a flaw in the model.
Signal Score (90d)
125Social Signal Score
Mentions (1)
- News (RSS)yahoo·1d ago·Positive
Are Wall Street Analysts Bullish on Dollar Tree Stock?
View source ↗
Earnings
Thu, Aug 27(in 7 days)
Consensus estimate $1.12 per share
Typical surprise +4.7% (median, so one quarter with a near-zero estimate can't distort it)
- Thu, May 28$1.74 vs $1.53beat
- Mon, Mar 16$2.56 vs $2.53beat
- Wed, Dec 3$1.21 vs $1.09beat
- Wed, Sep 3$0.77 vs $0.42beat
- Wed, Jun 4$1.26 vs $1.21beat
- Wed, Mar 26$2.11 vs $2.20miss
Estimates and results for DLTR via Financial Modeling Prep. Beating consensus says the company cleared the bar analysts set, not that the business grew.
Insider trading
Open-market buys and sells by DLTR officers and directors.
- Bought
- $342k
- Sold
- $1.8bn
2 trades
16 trades
- Mantle Ridge Lpsold
- Mantle Ridge Lpsold
- Mantle Ridge Lpsold
- Mantle Ridge Lpsold
- Mantle Ridge Lpsold
- Mantle Ridge Lpsold
- Mantle Ridge Lpsold
- Mantle Ridge Lpsold
82 further Form 4 entries are share awards, option exercises or shares withheld for tax. Those are compensation, not trades, so they are excluded above. Buying is the stronger signal: an insider spends their own money for one reason. Selling has many innocent explanations — tax, diversifying, a house — so it says far less than it appears to. Via SEC filings.
Prediction Markets
Live market-implied probabilities from Polymarket. These are odds traders are paying for, not forecasts — and not investment advice.
- Will Dollar Tree (DLTR) beat quarterly earnings?$419 vol · resolves Aug 27, 2026
- Will Dollar Tree (DLTR) beat quarterly earnings?85%