Price (90d)
$16.78Signal Score (90d)
100Quote
Valuation & Ratios
Returns & Efficiency
Revenue & Net Income (Annual)
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Net Income | EPS |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $111.48T | $8.40T | $4075.40 |
| 2024 | $133.33T | $13.84T | $6732.00 |
| 2023 | $143.19T | $21.06T | $9272.15 |
| 2022 | $159.61T | $31.60T | $16249.00 |
| 2021 | $91.88T | $15.65T | $8120.79 |
Social Signal Score
Earnings
Tue, Nov 10(in 3 months)
Consensus estimate $0.55 per share
Typical surprise -14.0% (median, so one quarter with a near-zero estimate can't distort it)
- Mon, Aug 3$0.86 vs $0.79beat
- Tue, May 12$0.38 vs $0.54miss
- Wed, Mar 4$0.22 vs $0.23miss
- Tue, Nov 11$0.31 vs $0.00beat
- Wed, Aug 13$0.21 vs $0.33miss
- Tue, May 6$0.31 vs $0.36miss
Estimates and results for EC via Financial Modeling Prep. Beating consensus says the company cleared the bar analysts set, not that the business grew.
Valuation
Project earnings forward and see what return today's price implies.
Seeded from EC's reported EPS growth of -15.8% a year over 4 years. Historical EPS growth of -16% would project the company towards zero. Floored at -15% as a starting point.
- EPS in 5 years
- $1,815
- Implied price
- $16,335
- Return from $17.17
- 294.2% a year
To earn 15.0% a year on these assumptions you'd need to buy at $8,121 — today's price is already 99.8% below that.
How sensitive is that answer?
Annual return across nearby assumptions. If the result is only attractive in one corner, that is the finding.
| growth \ P/E | 5 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -25.0% | 209.2% | 230.7% | 247.8% | 262.0% | 274.3% |
| -20.0% | 229.8% | 252.8% | 271.0% | 286.2% | 299.3% |
| -15.0% | 250.4% | 274.8% | 294.2% | 310.3% | 324.2% |
| -10.0% | 271.1% | 296.9% | 317.3% | 334.4% | 349.2% |
| -5.0% | 291.7% | 318.9% | 340.5% | 358.6% | 374.1% |
This is arithmetic on assumptions you chose, not a forecast or a recommendation. It ignores dividends, buybacks, share issuance and debt, and it assumes a company still earning money in 5 years. Change any input and the answer changes a lot — that sensitivity is the honest result, not a flaw in the model.
Mentions (2)
- Newsbusinesswire.com·23h ago·Neutral
The Law Offices of Frank R. Cruz Announces Investigation of Ecopetrol S.A. LOS ANGELES--(BUSINESS WIRE)--The Law Offices of Frank R. Cruz Announces Investigation of Ecopetrol S.A. (EC) on Behalf of Investors.
View source ↗ - Newsprnewswire.com·7d ago·Neutral
Ecopetrol Announces the Convening of Bondholders' Meetings for Domestic Public Debt Bonds on August 18 BOGOTÁ, Colombia, Aug. 7, 2026 /PRNewswire/ -- Ecopetrol S.A. (BVC: ECOPETROL; NYSE: EC) (the "Company" or "Ecopetrol") announces that, in connection with the merger by absorption between Ecopetrol S.A.
View source ↗