Price (90d)
$13.60Signal Score (90d)
108Quote
Valuation & Ratios
Returns & Efficiency
Revenue & Net Income (Annual)
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Net Income | EPS |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $674.54M | $146.87M | $1.19 |
| 2024 | $282.19M | $145.86M | $1.36 |
| 2023 | $256.50M | $84.08M | $0.88 |
| 2022 | $43.15M | $-70.05M | $-1.41 |
| 2021 | $216.80M | $133.46M | $2.55 |
Social Signal Score
Earnings
Wed, Nov 4(in 3 months)
Consensus estimate $0.48 per share
Typical surprise +18.4% (median, so one quarter with a near-zero estimate can't distort it)
- Thu, Aug 6$0.60 vs $0.46beat
- Tue, May 5$0.55 vs $0.42beat
- Wed, Feb 25$0.47 vs $0.46beat
- Wed, Nov 5$0.53 vs $0.44beat
- Thu, Aug 7$0.47 vs $0.40beat
- Wed, May 7$0.39 vs $0.38beat
Estimates and results for EFC via Financial Modeling Prep. Beating consensus says the company cleared the bar analysts set, not that the business grew.
Valuation
Project earnings forward and see what return today's price implies.
Seeded from EFC's reported EPS growth of -17.3% a year over 4 years. Historical EPS growth of -17% would project the company towards zero. Floored at -15% as a starting point.
- EPS in 5 years
- $0.66
- Implied price
- $7.21
- Return from $13.67
- -12.0% a year
To earn 15.0% a year on these assumptions you'd need to buy at $3.58 — -73.8% below today's price.
How sensitive is that answer?
Annual return across nearby assumptions. If the result is only attractive in one corner, that is the finding.
| growth \ P/E | 7 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -25.0% | -29.1% | -25.4% | -22.4% | -19.7% | -17.4% |
| -20.0% | -24.3% | -20.4% | -17.2% | -14.4% | -11.9% |
| -15.0% | -19.6% | -15.5% | -12.0% | -9.0% | -6.4% |
| -10.0% | -14.9% | -10.5% | -6.8% | -3.7% | -0.9% |
| -5.0% | -10.2% | -5.5% | -1.7% | 1.7% | 4.6% |
This is arithmetic on assumptions you chose, not a forecast or a recommendation. It ignores dividends, buybacks, share issuance and debt, and it assumes a company still earning money in 5 years. Change any input and the answer changes a lot — that sensitivity is the honest result, not a flaw in the model.
Mentions (4)
- Newszacks.com·4d ago·Neutral
EFC Second-Quarter Earnings Beat Estimates on Longbridge Strength EFC's Q2 earnings jump 27.7%, fueled by stronger interest income, solid credit performance and Longbridge's growth.
View source ↗ - Newszacks.com·5d ago·Positive
EFC Q2 Earnings Call Sees High-40s ADE as Longbridge Scales EFC sees a high-40-cent ADE baseline as Longbridge growth, securitization scale and servicing control support momentum into the third quarter.
View source ↗ - Newsmarketbeat.com·7d ago·Neutral
Ellington Financial Q2 Earnings Call Highlights Ellington Financial NYSE: EFC reported second-quarter 2026 GAAP net income of $0.43 per common share and adjusted distributable earnings, or ADE, of $0.60 per share, exceeding its $0.39 quarterly dividend. Book value per share increased $0.05 during the quarter to $13.61 after dividends, while the company reported an annualized compounded economic return of 13.6%.
View source ↗ - Newsseekingalpha.com·7d ago·Positive
Ellington Financial Inc. (EFC) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript Ellington Financial Inc. (EFC) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript
View source ↗