Price (90d)
$30.63Signal Score (90d)
125Quote
Valuation & Ratios
Returns & Efficiency
Revenue & Net Income (Annual)
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Net Income | EPS |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $561.89M | $253.01M | $1.29 |
| 2024 | $449.61M | $203.00M | $1.16 |
| 2023 | $359.60M | $190.71M | $1.25 |
| 2022 | $286.51M | $134.13M | $0.99 |
| 2021 | $230.23M | $95.72M | $0.82 |
Social Signal Score
Earnings
Wed, Oct 28(in 2 months)
Consensus estimate $0.34 per share
Typical surprise -12.5% (median, so one quarter with a near-zero estimate can't distort it)
- Wed, Jul 22$0.34 vs $0.33beat
- Wed, Apr 22$0.28 vs $0.32miss
- Wed, Feb 11$0.34 vs $0.33beat
- Wed, Oct 22$0.33 vs $0.48miss
- Wed, Jul 23$0.32 vs $0.47miss
- Wed, Apr 23$0.29 vs $0.46miss
Estimates and results for EPRT via Financial Modeling Prep. Beating consensus says the company cleared the bar analysts set, not that the business grew.
Valuation
Project earnings forward and see what return today's price implies.
Seeded from EPRT's reported EPS growth of 12.0% a year over 4 years.
- EPS in 5 years
- $2.23
- Implied price
- $51.30
- Return from $31.06
- 10.6% a year
To earn 15.0% a year on these assumptions you'd need to buy at $25.51 — -17.9% below today's price.
How sensitive is that answer?
Annual return across nearby assumptions. If the result is only attractive in one corner, that is the finding.
| growth \ P/E | 17 | 20 | 23 | 26 | 29 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.0% | -5.2% | -2.1% | 0.7% | 3.2% | 5.5% |
| 7.0% | -0.6% | 2.7% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 10.6% |
| 12.0% | 4.1% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 13.3% | 15.8% |
| 17.0% | 8.7% | 12.3% | 15.5% | 18.4% | 21.0% |
| 22.0% | 13.4% | 17.1% | 20.4% | 23.4% | 26.1% |
This is arithmetic on assumptions you chose, not a forecast or a recommendation. It ignores dividends, buybacks, share issuance and debt, and it assumes a company still earning money in 5 years. Change any input and the answer changes a lot — that sensitivity is the honest result, not a flaw in the model.
Mentions (1)
- Newsseekingalpha.com·6d ago·Positive
Essential Properties Realty Trust Is Getting Close To A Buy Rating EPRT remains a hold, with business fundamentals outpacing peers but valuation not yet compelling enough to upgrade. EPRT's portfolio is highly diversified, with the top 10 tenants accounting for just 15.2% of ABR, mitigating concentration risk. EPRT targets 8% AFFO growth for 2026, supported by robust investment activity and sector-leading investment spreads of 1.4%.
View source ↗