Price
No data yet.
Social Signal Score
Revenue
$1.09B+160.46%Analyst Estimates
Consensus estimates, not results. Via Financial Modeling Prep.
Company Profile
- CEO
- Timothy G. NeCastro
- Sector
- Financial Services
- Industry
- Insurance - Property & Casualty
- Employees
- 6,667
- Beta
- 0.30
- Country
- US
- Piotroski score
- 6 / 9 (Middling)
- Altman Z-score
- 8.98
Financials
Revenue
$1.09B+160.5%Net Income
$180.29M+214.2%EBITDA
$228.08M+164.1%Free Cash Flow
$173.40M+70.2%EPS (diluted)
$3.45+216.5%Shares Outstanding (diluted)
52.30M-10.6%Operating Expenses
$0.00Cash & Debt
$344.62MReturn of Capital
$68.11MRevenue by Segment (annual)
$3.16BDividend per Share
$1.46Quote
Valuation & Ratios
Returns & Efficiency
Revenue & Net Income (Annual)
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Net Income | EPS |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $4.07B | $559.34M | $12.01 |
| 2024 | $3.80B | $600.31M | $12.89 |
| 2023 | $3.27B | $446.06M | $9.58 |
| 2022 | $2.84B | $298.57M | $6.41 |
| 2021 | $2.63B | $297.86M | $6.40 |
| 2020 | $2.54B | $293.30M | $6.30 |
| 2019 | $2.48B | $316.82M | $6.80 |
| 2018 | $2.38B | $288.22M | $4.93 |
| 2017 | $1.69B | $197.00M | $4.23 |
| 2016 | $1.60B | $210.37M | $4.52 |
| 2015 | $1.51B | $174.68M | $3.75 |
| 2014 | $6.12B | $167.50M | $3.59 |
| 2013 | $6.27B | $162.61M | $3.46 |
| 2012 | $5.51B | $160.00M | $3.38 |
Valuation
Project earnings forward and see what return today's price implies.
Seeded from ERIE's reported EPS growth of 10.2% a year over 13 years.
- EPS in 5 years
- $19.52
- Implied price
- $468.47
- Return from $221.46
- 16.2% a year
To earn 15.0% a year on these assumptions you'd need to buy at $232.91 — today's price is already 4.9% below that.
How sensitive is that answer?
Annual return across nearby assumptions. If the result is only attractive in one corner, that is the finding.
| growth \ P/E | 16 | 20 | 24 | 28 | 32 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2% | -2.6% | 1.8% | 5.6% | 8.9% | 11.9% |
| 5.2% | 2.3% | 6.9% | 10.9% | 14.4% | 17.5% |
| 10.2% | 7.1% | 12.0% | 16.2% | 19.8% | 23.0% |
| 15.2% | 12.0% | 17.1% | 21.4% | 25.2% | 28.6% |
| 20.2% | 16.8% | 22.2% | 26.7% | 30.7% | 34.2% |
This is arithmetic on assumptions you chose, not a forecast or a recommendation. It ignores dividends, buybacks, share issuance and debt, and it assumes a company still earning money in 5 years. Change any input and the answer changes a lot — that sensitivity is the honest result, not a flaw in the model.
Signal Score (90d)
127-2.56%Social Signal Score
Mentions (3)
- Newszacks.com·21d ago·Positive
Erie Indemnity (ERIE) Upgraded to Buy: Here's Why Erie Indemnity (ERIE) might move higher on growing optimism about its earnings prospects, which is reflected by its upgrade to a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy).
View source ↗ - News (RSS)zerohedge·43d ago·Neutral
What Makes A Great Entrepreneur? Lessons From The Greats What Makes A Great Entrepreneur? Lessons From The Greats Authored by Rainer Zitelmann via RealClearMarkets, What personality traits distinguish successful entrepreneurs? This question has occupied academic research on entrepreneurship for decades, with scholars examining the relationship between personality traits and entrepreneurial success. When we want to understand or recognize something, we often do so by making comparisons. About 200
View source ↗ - Newsgurufocus.com·49d ago·Positive
Is Erie Indemnity Co (ERIE) a Bargain After 3.2% Drop? GF Value Says Undervalued On August 17, 2026, Erie Indemnity Co (ERIE) shares fell 3.2% to a current price of $247.75, within a 52-week range of $204.63 to $371.45. This decline comes am
View source ↗
Earnings
Thu, Oct 29(in 3 weeks)
Consensus estimate $3.41 per share
Typical surprise -4.0% (median, so one quarter with a near-zero estimate can't distort it)
- Thu, Jul 30$3.45 vs $3.35beat
- Thu, Apr 23$2.88 vs $3.06miss
- Mon, Feb 23$-0.33 vs $1.59miss
- Thu, Oct 30$3.50 vs $3.37beat
- Thu, Aug 7$3.34 vs $3.48miss
- Thu, Apr 24$2.65 vs $3.10miss
Estimates and results for ERIE via Financial Modeling Prep. Beating consensus says the company cleared the bar analysts set, not that the business grew.
Insider trading
Open-market buys and sells by ERIE officers and directors.
- Bought
- $1.4m
- Sold
- $101k
3 trades
1 trade
- Vorsheck Elizabeth Abought
- Vorsheck Elizabeth Abought
- Vorsheck Elizabeth Abought
- Dabreo Anthonysold
96 further Form 4 entries are share awards, option exercises or shares withheld for tax. Those are compensation, not trades, so they are excluded above. Buying is the stronger signal: an insider spends their own money for one reason. Selling has many innocent explanations — tax, diversifying, a house — so it says far less than it appears to. Via SEC filings.
Congress trades
- John Fettermansenate · PA · disclosed Apr 3, 2026 (7d later)Buy$1,001 - $15,000
- John Fettermansenate · PA · disclosed Apr 3, 2026 (4d later)Buy$1,001 - $15,000
- Gilbert Ray Cisneroshouse · CA31 · disclosed Mar 10, 2026 (28d later)Sell$1,001 - $15,000
- Ro Khannahouse · CA17 · disclosed Feb 10, 2026 (12d later)Buy$1,001 - $15,000
- Gilbert Ray Cisneroshouse · CA31 · disclosed Jan 12, 2026 (24d later)Buy$1,001 - $15,000
- Ro Khannahouse · CA17 · disclosed Oct 3, 2025 (4d later)Sell$1,001 - $15,000
- Ro Khannahouse · CA17 · disclosed Aug 8, 2025 (14d later)Buy$1,001 - $15,000
Self-reported filings, amounts as brackets. Via Senate/House disclosures.