Price (90d)
$34.31Signal Score (90d)
100Quote
Valuation & Ratios
Returns & Efficiency
Revenue & Net Income (Annual)
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Net Income | EPS |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $799.60M | $268.34M | $2.59 |
| 2024 | $470.26M | $-68.47M | $-0.66 |
| 2023 | $427.48M | $92.80M | $0.99 |
| 2022 | $426.39M | $101.83M | $1.12 |
| 2021 | $489.92M | $201.05M | $2.27 |
Social Signal Score
Earnings
Tue, Nov 3(in 3 months)
Consensus estimate $1.19 per share
Typical surprise +12.6% (median, so one quarter with a near-zero estimate can't distort it)
- Wed, Aug 5$0.83 vs $0.74beat
- Mon, May 4$0.69 vs $0.56beat
- Thu, Mar 5$1.04 vs $1.06miss
- Tue, Nov 4$0.27 vs $0.36miss
- Thu, Jul 31$0.46 vs $0.33beat
- Mon, May 5$0.35 vs $0.17beat
Estimates and results for ERO via Financial Modeling Prep. Beating consensus says the company cleared the bar analysts set, not that the business grew.
Valuation
Project earnings forward and see what return today's price implies.
Seeded from ERO's reported EPS growth of 3.4% a year over 4 years.
- EPS in 5 years
- $3.06
- Implied price
- $33.65
- Return from $33.80
- -0.1% a year
To earn 15.0% a year on these assumptions you'd need to buy at $16.73 — -50.5% below today's price.
How sensitive is that answer?
Annual return across nearby assumptions. If the result is only attractive in one corner, that is the finding.
| growth \ P/E | 7 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -6.6% | -17.6% | -13.3% | -9.8% | -6.7% | -4.0% |
| -1.6% | -13.1% | -8.7% | -4.9% | -1.7% | 1.2% |
| 3.4% | -8.7% | -4.0% | -0.1% | 3.3% | 6.3% |
| 8.4% | -4.3% | 0.6% | 4.7% | 8.3% | 11.4% |
| 13.4% | 0.1% | 5.3% | 9.6% | 13.3% | 16.6% |
This is arithmetic on assumptions you chose, not a forecast or a recommendation. It ignores dividends, buybacks, share issuance and debt, and it assumes a company still earning money in 5 years. Change any input and the answer changes a lot — that sensitivity is the honest result, not a flaw in the model.
Mentions (1)
- Newsmarketbeat.com·7d ago·Neutral
Ero Copper Q2 Earnings Call Highlights Ero Copper NYSE: ERO reported stronger second-quarter operating and financial performance, supported by higher gold sales, solid copper output and commodity-price tailwinds, while continuing to reduce debt and advance expansion projects across its Brazilian operations.
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