Price (90d)
$72.33Signal Score (90d)
70Quote
Valuation & Ratios
Returns & Efficiency
Revenue & Net Income (Annual)
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Net Income | EPS |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $13.55B | $1.69B | $4.56 |
| 2024 | $11.90B | $811.65M | $2.27 |
| 2023 | $11.91B | $-442.24M | $-1.27 |
| 2022 | $12.29B | $1.40B | $4.05 |
| 2021 | $9.86B | $1.22B | $3.55 |
Social Signal Score
Earnings
Tue, Nov 3(in 3 months)
Consensus estimate $1.02 per share
Typical surprise +1.0% (median, so one quarter with a near-zero estimate can't distort it)
- Thu, Jul 30$0.87 vs $0.87miss
- Wed, May 6$1.73 vs $1.63beat
- Thu, Feb 12$1.12 vs $1.10beat
- Tue, Nov 4$1.19 vs $1.15beat
- Thu, Jul 31$0.96 vs $0.95beat
- Thu, May 1$1.50 vs $1.51miss
Estimates and results for ES via Financial Modeling Prep. Beating consensus says the company cleared the bar analysts set, not that the business grew.
Valuation
Project earnings forward and see what return today's price implies.
Seeded from ES's reported EPS growth of 6.5% a year over 4 years.
- EPS in 5 years
- $6.25
- Implied price
- $93.78
- Return from $72.36
- 5.3% a year
To earn 15.0% a year on these assumptions you'd need to buy at $46.63 — -35.6% below today's price.
How sensitive is that answer?
Annual return across nearby assumptions. If the result is only attractive in one corner, that is the finding.
| growth \ P/E | 11 | 13 | 15 | 17 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -3.5% | -10.3% | -7.3% | -4.6% | -2.1% | 0.1% |
| 1.5% | -5.7% | -2.5% | 0.4% | 2.9% | 5.2% |
| 6.5% | -1.0% | 2.4% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 10.4% |
| 11.5% | 3.6% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 13.1% | 15.6% |
| 16.5% | 8.3% | 12.0% | 15.2% | 18.1% | 20.8% |
This is arithmetic on assumptions you chose, not a forecast or a recommendation. It ignores dividends, buybacks, share issuance and debt, and it assumes a company still earning money in 5 years. Change any input and the answer changes a lot — that sensitivity is the honest result, not a flaw in the model.
Mentions (4)
- News (RSS)cityam·1d ago·Positive
Lexus ES 350e Review: Is this the best electric executive car? For business leaders, corporate decision-makers and high-income professionals, an executive car needs to do more than take the scenic route through total chaos. It needs to make the journey easier, writes motoring journalist Tim Barnes-Clay. That could mean quietly hoovering up motorway miles between meetings, providing a comfortable haven while crossing London, or giving you [...]
View source ↗ - Newszacks.com·1d ago·Positive
Can Grid Modernization Support Eversource's Long-Term Growth? ES' $26.5B investment plan through 2030 targets grid upgrades, transmission growth and a stronger regulated rate base to support earnings.
View source ↗ - 4chan /biz/biz·8d ago·Positive
>>62572458 The bull trap will be after like a 10% correction on the ES. I think ES corrects at least 31% from the next high (which might be at 9500) during this next recession, if not deeper to 50%. This a next year thing after the midterms.
View source ↗ - 4chan /biz/biz·8d ago·Positive
>>62571709 There's a possibility gold drops down to $3500-$3800 range, but that would require ES and NQ take a noise dive and we all know what that means. So rotating out of MAG7 stocks now while there's liquidity and buying pressure makes sense to me.
View source ↗
