Price (90d)
$188.04Signal Score (90d)
165Quote
Valuation & Ratios
Returns & Efficiency
Revenue & Net Income (Annual)
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Net Income | EPS |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $15.03B | $1.66B | $5.73 |
| 2024 | $11.02B | $3.34B | $15.53 |
| 2023 | $8.34B | $3.14B | $17.34 |
| 2022 | $9.57B | $4.39B | $24.61 |
| 2021 | $6.75B | $2.18B | $12.35 |
Social Signal Score
Earnings
Mon, Nov 2(in 3 months)
Consensus estimate $4.82 per share
Typical surprise +4.8% (median, so one quarter with a near-zero estimate can't distort it)
- Mon, Aug 3$6.48 vs $6.08beat
- Mon, May 4$4.23 vs $3.74beat
- Mon, Feb 23$1.74 vs $2.00miss
- Mon, Nov 3$3.08 vs $2.94beat
- Mon, Aug 4$2.67 vs $2.76miss
- Mon, May 5$4.54 vs $4.18beat
Estimates and results for FANG via Financial Modeling Prep. Beating consensus says the company cleared the bar analysts set, not that the business grew.
Valuation
Project earnings forward and see what return today's price implies.
Seeded from FANG's reported EPS growth of -17.5% a year over 4 years. Historical EPS growth of -17% would project the company towards zero. Floored at -15% as a starting point.
- EPS in 5 years
- $2.55
- Implied price
- $66.41
- Return from $202.47
- -20.0% a year
To earn 15.0% a year on these assumptions you'd need to buy at $33.02 — -83.7% below today's price.
How sensitive is that answer?
Annual return across nearby assumptions. If the result is only attractive in one corner, that is the finding.
| growth \ P/E | 18 | 22 | 26 | 30 | 34 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -25.0% | -34.4% | -31.7% | -29.4% | -27.3% | -25.5% |
| -20.0% | -30.0% | -27.2% | -24.7% | -22.5% | -20.5% |
| -15.0% | -25.7% | -22.6% | -20.0% | -17.7% | -15.6% |
| -10.0% | -21.3% | -18.1% | -15.3% | -12.8% | -10.6% |
| -5.0% | -16.9% | -13.5% | -10.6% | -8.0% | -5.6% |
This is arithmetic on assumptions you chose, not a forecast or a recommendation. It ignores dividends, buybacks, share issuance and debt, and it assumes a company still earning money in 5 years. Change any input and the answer changes a lot — that sensitivity is the honest result, not a flaw in the model.
Mentions (5)
- Newszacks.com·2d ago·Positive
Can FANG's Higher 2026 Output Guidance Keep Earnings Momentum Alive? Diamondback raised 2026 production guidance without lifting its $3.9B capex plan, putting efficiency gains at the heart of its earnings momentum.
View source ↗ - News (RSS)yahoo·2d ago·Neutral
Diamondback Energy Stock Outlook: Is Wall Street Bullish or Bearish?
View source ↗ - News (RSS)seekingalpha·2d ago·Positive
Diamondback Energy: Strong Oil Leverage And Low Production Costs
View source ↗ - Newsseekingalpha.com·3d ago·Positive
Diamondback Energy: Strong Oil Leverage And Low Production Costs Diamondback Energy (FANG) is rated Strong Buy, with a DCF-based target price of $290 per share, implying ~45% upside. FANG's low production costs ($25.09/BOE) and efficient capital allocation underpin robust free cash flow, even under conservative commodity price assumptions. Operational flexibility enables FANG to quickly adjust production, leveraging surfactant-enhanced well productivity and new pipeline capacity for higher reali
View source ↗ - Newszacks.com·7d ago·Neutral
Diamondback (FANG) Q2 Earnings: How Key Metrics Compare to Wall Street Estimates The headline numbers for Diamondback (FANG) give insight into how the company performed in the quarter ended June 2026, but it may be worthwhile to compare some of its key metrics to Wall Street estimates and the year-ago actuals.
View source ↗