Price
No data yet.
Social Signal Score
Revenue
$354.67M+432.36%Analyst Estimates
Consensus estimates, not results. Via Financial Modeling Prep.
Company Profile
- CEO
- Christopher A. Tomasso
- Sector
- Consumer Cyclical
- Industry
- Restaurants
- Employees
- 18,000
- Beta
- 1.03
- Country
- US
- Piotroski score
- 6 / 9 (Middling)
- Altman Z-score
- 1.05
Financials
Revenue
$354.67M+432.4%Net Income
$2.34MEBITDA
$20.32MFree Cash Flow
$-13.53MEPS (diluted)
$0.04Shares Outstanding (diluted)
62.30M+38.4%Operating Expenses
$38.73MCash & Debt
$20.48MRevenue by Segment (annual)
$2.44BQuote
Valuation & Ratios
Returns & Efficiency
Revenue & Net Income (Annual)
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Net Income | EPS |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $1.22B | $19.43M | $0.32 |
| 2024 | $1.02B | $18.93M | $0.31 |
| 2023 | $891.55M | $25.39M | $0.43 |
| 2022 | $730.16M | $6.91M | $0.12 |
| 2021 | $601.19M | $-2.11M | $-0.04 |
| 2020 | $342.39M | $-49.68M | $-0.86 |
| 2019 | $436.37M | $-45.44M | $-0.79 |
| 2018 | $349.77M | $-12.30M | $-0.27 |
Valuation
Project earnings forward and see what return today's price implies.
EPS was negative in at least one boundary year, so a compound growth rate can't be computed from it. Set your own assumption.
- EPS in 5 years
- $0.47
- Implied price
- $22.48
- Return from $12.38
- 12.7% a year
To earn 15.0% a year on these assumptions you'd need to buy at $11.18 — -9.7% below today's price.
How sensitive is that answer?
Annual return across nearby assumptions. If the result is only attractive in one corner, that is the finding.
| growth \ P/E | 34 | 41 | 48 | 55 | 62 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -2.0% | -4.6% | -0.9% | 2.2% | 5.1% | 7.6% |
| 3.0% | 0.3% | 4.1% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 13.1% |
| 8.0% | 5.2% | 9.2% | 12.7% | 15.8% | 18.6% |
| 13.0% | 10.0% | 14.2% | 17.9% | 21.1% | 24.1% |
| 18.0% | 14.9% | 19.3% | 23.1% | 26.5% | 29.6% |
This is arithmetic on assumptions you chose, not a forecast or a recommendation. It ignores dividends, buybacks, share issuance and debt, and it assumes a company still earning money in 5 years. Change any input and the answer changes a lot — that sensitivity is the honest result, not a flaw in the model.
Signal Score (90d)
100Social Signal Score
Mentions (1)
- Newsglobenewswire.com·5h ago·Neutral
First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. to Participate in Two September Investor Conferences BRADENTON, Fla., Aug. 27, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. (NASDAQ: FWRG) (“First Watch” or the “Company”), the leading Daytime Dining concept serving breakfast, brunch and lunch, today announces it will participate in two investor conferences in September:
View source ↗
Earnings
Tue, Nov 3(in 2 months)
Consensus estimate $0.08 per share
Typical surprise -50.0% (median, so one quarter with a near-zero estimate can't distort it)
- Tue, Aug 4$0.04 vs $0.05miss
- Tue, May 5$-0.04 vs $-0.02miss
- Tue, Feb 24$0.24 vs $0.08beat
- Tue, Nov 4$0.05 vs $0.08miss
- Tue, Aug 5$0.03 vs $0.07miss
- Tue, May 6$-0.01 vs $0.04miss
Estimates and results for FWRG via Financial Modeling Prep. Beating consensus says the company cleared the bar analysts set, not that the business grew.
Insider trading
Open-market buys and sells by FWRG officers and directors.
- Bought
- $248k
- Sold
- $1.2bn
1 trade
45 trades
- Jones John Danielsold
- Hartman Eric Richardsold
- Tomasso Christopher Anthonysold
- Sorensen Laura Annesold
- Hope H Melville Iiisold
- Wolszczak Jay Anthonysold
- Eisenacher Matthewsold
- Hartman Eric Richardsold
54 further Form 4 entries are share awards, option exercises or shares withheld for tax. Those are compensation, not trades, so they are excluded above. Buying is the stronger signal: an insider spends their own money for one reason. Selling has many innocent explanations — tax, diversifying, a house — so it says far less than it appears to. Via SEC filings.