Price
$30.69+2.10%Social Signal Score
Analyst Ratings
12 analystsRevenue
$732.07M+32.05%Analyst Estimates
Consensus estimates, not results. Via Financial Modeling Prep.
Company Profile
- CEO
- George C. Zoley
- Sector
- Industrials
- Industry
- Security & Protection Services
- Employees
- 18,000
- Beta
- 0.78
- Country
- US
- Piotroski score
- 7 / 9 (Strong)
- Altman Z-score
- 2.56
Financials
Revenue
$732.07M+32.1%Net Income
$47.50M+8.7%EBITDA
$138.45M+26.8%Free Cash Flow
$194.15MEPS (diluted)
$0.36-7.7%Shares Outstanding (diluted)
132.02M+18.4%Operating Expenses
$65.47MCash & Debt
$57.13MReturn of Capital
$86.73MRevenue by Segment (annual)
$2.63BDividend per Share
$0.25Quote
Valuation & Ratios
Returns & Efficiency
Revenue & Net Income (Annual)
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Net Income | EPS |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $2.63B | $254.37M | $1.82 |
| 2024 | $2.42B | $31.97M | $0.23 |
| 2023 | $2.41B | $107.33M | $0.73 |
| 2022 | $2.38B | $171.81M | $1.18 |
| 2021 | $2.26B | $77.42M | $0.59 |
| 2020 | $2.35B | $113.03M | $0.94 |
| 2019 | $2.48B | $166.60M | $1.40 |
| 2018 | $2.33B | $145.09M | $1.21 |
| 2017 | $2.26B | $146.24M | $1.22 |
| 2016 | $2.18B | $148.72M | $1.34 |
| 2015 | $1.84B | $139.44M | $1.26 |
| 2014 | $1.69B | $143.93M | $1.33 |
| 2013 | $1.52B | $115.14M | $1.08 |
| 2012 | $1.48B | $134.75M | $1.47 |
Valuation
Project earnings forward and see what return today's price implies.
Seeded from GEO's reported EPS growth of 1.7% a year over 13 years.
- EPS in 5 years
- $1.98
- Implied price
- $17.83
- Return from $31.36
- -10.7% a year
To earn 15.0% a year on these assumptions you'd need to buy at $8.86 — -71.7% below today's price.
How sensitive is that answer?
Annual return across nearby assumptions. If the result is only attractive in one corner, that is the finding.
| growth \ P/E | 5 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -8.3% | -28.4% | -23.4% | -19.5% | -16.2% | -13.3% |
| -3.3% | -24.5% | -19.2% | -15.1% | -11.6% | -8.6% |
| 1.7% | -20.6% | -15.1% | -10.7% | -7.0% | -3.9% |
| 6.7% | -16.7% | -10.9% | -6.3% | -2.5% | 0.9% |
| 11.7% | -12.8% | -6.7% | -1.9% | 2.1% | 5.6% |
This is arithmetic on assumptions you chose, not a forecast or a recommendation. It ignores dividends, buybacks, share issuance and debt, and it assumes a company still earning money in 5 years. Change any input and the answer changes a lot — that sensitivity is the honest result, not a flaw in the model.
Signal Score (90d)
144+187.50%Social Signal Score
Mentions (12)
- News (RSS)zerohedge·16h ago·Negative
…ased solar power for remote military bases. The first demonstration of the technology is planned for 2028, with deployment of the planned geosynchronous Earth orbit (GEO) satellite constellation slated to begin in 2030. “The connection between space and the ground is the most critical element of space solar energy, especially for warfighters who depend on power at precise locations,” Darko Filipi, Overview Energy co-CEO, was quoted by Interesting Engineering. The United States military is not th…
View source ↗ - Newsseekingalpha.com·1d ago·Positive
…CRDOF) is upgraded to Buy, reflecting improved MDN production and strategic stream buybacks despite ongoing free cash flow deficits. Q2 MDN production reached 15,415 GEO, supporting confidence in the 50,000 GEO annual guidance, but cost control remains critical as AISC rose to $1,933/oz. Mont Sorcier's BFS delay to H1 2027 removes it as a near-term catalyst, increasing the speculative nature of CRDOF and shifting focus to MDN cash flow.
View source ↗ - News (RSS)financialpost·5d ago·Neutral
Foundation Marketing Helped Strengthen Bitly’s Position as a Top-Cited Brand in AI Search Through an Integrated GEO Program A Certified Partnership With Profound Helps Foundation Turn AI Visibility Investment Into Measurable Outcomes for Brands HALIFAX, Nova Scotia — Foundation Marketing announced it has joined Profound’s inaugural Agency Certification Cohort. Every Foundation engagement can now open with the same enterprise measurement that supported Bitly’s continued growth as the most cited b…
View source ↗ - News (RSS)investing·5d ago·Neutral
GEO and SWBI: Decoding Five Election Cycles of Wall Street’s Most Politically Wire
View source ↗ - 4chan /biz/biz·15d ago·Neutral
>>62709835 >a thing to maybe look out for is any sign of progressing r&d into radhard Radhard only matters for GEO. Consumer-grade electronics runs just fine in LEO. Now if you need it to actually remain on during solar storms and/or in the South Atlantic Anomaly then that is a different story, but with the number of these you'd need to be up there maybe it wouldn't matter. >extremely low power What do you think the past 40+ years of semiconductor development have been chasing you absolute igno…
View source ↗ - News (RSS)businessinsider·22d ago·Neutral
Geolix.ai Joins Airwallex to Show Why Ranking #1 on Google No Longer Puts a Brand in the AI Answer <link type="text/css" rel="stylesheet" href="https://www.globenewswire.com/styles/gnw_nitf.css" /><p align="justify">SINGAPORE, Sept. 13, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Andy Guo , founder of Geolix.ai , a generative engine optimization (GEO) firm working with brands that sell into overseas markets, joined Airwallex , the global payments and...
View source ↗ - Newszacks.com·33d ago·Positive
Best Momentum Stocks to Buy for September 2nd OSCR, LQDT and GEO made it to the Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) momentum stocks list on September 2, 2026.
View source ↗ - News (Marketaux)gurufocus.com·35d ago·Positive
GEO Looks 70.0% Overvalued on GF Value™ On August 31, 2026, The GEO[+296 characters]
View source ↗ - Newszacks.com·43d ago·Positive
Here's Why Momentum in Geo Group (GEO) Should Keep going If you are looking for stocks that are well positioned to maintain their recent uptrend, Geo Group (GEO) could be a great choice. It is one of the several stocks that passed through our "Recent Price Strength" screen.
View source ↗ - Newsglobenewswire.com·48d ago·Positive
Cerrado Gold Announces Second Quarter 2026 Financial Results Gold equivalent production of 15,415 Gold Equivalent Ounces (“GEO”) at AISC of $1,933/oz Au during Q2 2026 Adjusted EBITDA of $28.2 million for Q2 2026 and Strong Cash Position of $25.3 million at quarter end Annual Production Guidance of 50,000 to 60,000 GEO reiterated for 2026 Preliminary Economic Assessment targeted for Q1/27 supported by ongoing exploration program and recent property acquisitions expected to support resource growt…
View source ↗ - Newszacks.com·54d ago·Neutral
Earnings Estimates Rising for Geo Group (GEO): Will It Gain? Geo Group (GEO) shares have started gaining and might continue moving higher in the near term, as indicated by solid earnings estimate revisions.
View source ↗ - Newsmarketbeat.com·59d ago·Neutral
Geo Group Q2 Earnings Call Highlights Geo Group NYSE: GEO reported higher second-quarter results as revenue from contracts awarded in 2025 increased, while the company raised its full-year earnings and adjusted EBITDA outlook.
View source ↗
Earnings
Thu, Nov 5(in 4 weeks)
Consensus estimate $0.35 per share
Typical surprise +13.6% (median, so one quarter with a near-zero estimate can't distort it)
- Thu, Aug 6$0.37 vs $0.29beat
- Wed, May 6$0.29 vs $0.19beat
- Thu, Feb 12$0.25 vs $0.25beat
- Thu, Nov 6$0.25 vs $0.22beat
- Wed, Aug 6$0.22 vs $0.16beat
- Wed, May 7$0.14 vs $0.18miss
Estimates and results for GEO via Financial Modeling Prep. Beating consensus says the company cleared the bar analysts set, not that the business grew.
Insider trading
Open-market buys and sells by GEO officers and directors.
- Bought
- —
- Sold
- $10.1m
0 trades
28 trades
- Albence Matthewsold
- Brack Ronald A.sold
- Albence Matthewsold
- Koren Lindsay L.sold
- Kernan Scott Michaelsold
- Zoley George Csold
- Zoley George Csold
- Zoley George Csold
72 further Form 4 entries are share awards, option exercises or shares withheld for tax. Those are compensation, not trades, so they are excluded above. Buying is the stronger signal: an insider spends their own money for one reason. Selling has many innocent explanations — tax, diversifying, a house — so it says far less than it appears to. Via SEC filings.
Congress trades
No disclosed congressional trades in GEO.
Self-reported filings, amounts as brackets. Via Senate/House disclosures.