Price
No data yet.
Social Signal Score
Revenue
$156.82M+173.41%Analyst Estimates
Consensus estimates, not results. Via Financial Modeling Prep.
Company Profile
- CEO
- Scott Bluestein
- Sector
- Financial Services
- Industry
- Asset Management
- Employees
- 100
- Beta
- 0.74
- Country
- US
- Piotroski score
- 6 / 9 (Middling)
- Altman Z-score
- 1.08
Financials
Revenue
$156.82M+173.4%Net Income
$130.18M+452.8%EBITDA
$158.40M+570.7%Free Cash Flow
$297.90M+629.0%EPS (diluted)
$0.65+225.0%Shares Outstanding (diluted)
199.58M+71.7%Operating Expenses
$4.87MCash & Debt
$48.18MReturn of Capital
$86.78MDividend per Share
$0.47Quote
Valuation & Ratios
Returns & Efficiency
Revenue & Net Income (Annual)
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Net Income | EPS |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $547.10M | $339.74M | $1.90 |
| 2024 | $430.90M | $262.97M | $1.61 |
| 2023 | $494.12M | $337.48M | $2.32 |
| 2022 | $239.39M | $102.08M | $0.80 |
| 2021 | $309.58M | $174.16M | $1.50 |
| 2020 | $357.38M | $227.26M | $2.02 |
| 2019 | $298.20M | $173.60M | $1.71 |
| 2018 | $175.52M | $76.50M | $0.83 |
| 2017 | $173.43M | $79.00M | $0.95 |
| 2016 | $143.41M | $68.70M | $0.91 |
| 2015 | $126.55M | $42.92M | $0.60 |
| 2014 | $143.10M | $71.19M | $1.12 |
| 2013 | $166.09M | $99.45M | $1.67 |
| 2012 | $96.17M | $46.76M | $0.93 |
Valuation
Project earnings forward and see what return today's price implies.
Seeded from HTGC's reported EPS growth of 5.6% a year over 13 years.
- EPS in 5 years
- $2.47
- Implied price
- $24.68
- Return from $16.65
- 8.2% a year
To earn 15.0% a year on these assumptions you'd need to buy at $12.27 — -26.3% below today's price.
How sensitive is that answer?
Annual return across nearby assumptions. If the result is only attractive in one corner, that is the finding.
| growth \ P/E | 6 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -4.4% | -11.6% | -6.3% | -2.1% | 1.6% | 4.8% |
| 0.6% | -6.9% | -1.4% | 3.1% | 6.9% | 10.2% |
| 5.6% | -2.3% | 3.5% | 8.2% | 12.2% | 15.7% |
| 10.6% | 2.3% | 8.4% | 13.3% | 17.5% | 21.2% |
| 15.6% | 6.9% | 13.3% | 18.4% | 22.8% | 26.7% |
This is arithmetic on assumptions you chose, not a forecast or a recommendation. It ignores dividends, buybacks, share issuance and debt, and it assumes a company still earning money in 5 years. Change any input and the answer changes a lot — that sensitivity is the honest result, not a flaw in the model.
Signal Score (90d)
80-29.82%Social Signal Score
Mentions (2)
- Newsbusinesswire.com·7h ago·Negative
…es a BBB+ Affirmed Investment Grade Corporate and Credit Rating from Kroll Bond Rating Agency, Inc. SAN MATEO, Calif.--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Hercules Capital, Inc. (NYSE: HTGC) (“Hercules,” “Hercules Capital,” or the “Company”), the largest and leading specialty financing provider to innovative venture, growth and established stage companies backed by some of the leading and top-tier venture capital and select private equity firms, today announced that Kroll Bond Rating Agency, Inc. (“KBRA”) has affi…
View source ↗ - Newsseekingalpha.com·19h ago·Positive
Hercules Capital: Portfolio Metrics Warrant An Upgrade To Buy Hercules Capital earns a BUY rating due to strong fundamentals, stable NAV, and robust portfolio performance in the venture lending space. HTGC's non-accruals remain low at 0.3%, leverage has declined, and the credit profile is clean, supporting income durability. Distribution coverage is solid with a $0.40 base dividend (11.1% yield), a $0.92 per share spillover, and NII per share steady at $2.00.
View source ↗
Earnings
Thu, Oct 29(in 2 months)
Consensus estimate $0.49 per share
Typical surprise +2.1% (median, so one quarter with a near-zero estimate can't distort it)
- Thu, Jul 30$0.50 vs $0.48beat
- Tue, May 5$0.48 vs $0.47beat
- Thu, Feb 12$0.48 vs $0.48beat
- Thu, Oct 30$0.49 vs $0.48beat
- Thu, Jul 31$0.50 vs $0.47beat
- Thu, May 1$0.45 vs $0.46miss
Estimates and results for HTGC via Financial Modeling Prep. Beating consensus says the company cleared the bar analysts set, not that the business grew.
Insider trading
Open-market buys and sells by HTGC officers and directors.
- Bought
- $3.3m
- Sold
- $7k
31 trades
1 trade
- Badavas Robert Pbought
- Loo Wadebought
- Fallon Thomas Jbought
- Aguirre Deannebought
- Randhawa Paramjeet Kbought
- Crowell Gayle Abought
- Theodosopoulos Nikosbought
- Follmann Christianbought
68 further Form 4 entries are share awards, option exercises or shares withheld for tax. Those are compensation, not trades, so they are excluded above. Buying is the stronger signal: an insider spends their own money for one reason. Selling has many innocent explanations — tax, diversifying, a house — so it says far less than it appears to. Via SEC filings.
