Price (90d)
$78.51Signal Score (90d)
80Quote
Valuation & Ratios
Returns & Efficiency
Revenue & Net Income (Annual)
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Net Income | EPS |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $2.71B | $146.00M | $2.09 |
| 2024 | $2.94B | $420.00M | $5.91 |
| 2023 | $2.58B | $178.00M | $2.47 |
| 2022 | $3.85B | $1.09B | $11.90 |
| 2021 | $3.92B | $1.38B | $14.20 |
Social Signal Score
Earnings
Wed, Nov 4(in 3 months)
Consensus estimate $0.28 per share
Typical surprise +12.4% (median, so one quarter with a near-zero estimate can't distort it)
- Wed, Aug 5$0.40 vs $0.56miss
- Wed, May 6$0.38 vs $0.09beat
- Tue, Feb 17$0.03 vs $-0.06beat
- Wed, Nov 5$0.36 vs $0.37miss
- Wed, Aug 6$0.99 vs $0.97beat
- Tue, May 6$1.27 vs $1.13beat
Estimates and results for LPX via Financial Modeling Prep. Beating consensus says the company cleared the bar analysts set, not that the business grew.
Valuation
Project earnings forward and see what return today's price implies.
Seeded from LPX's reported EPS growth of -38.1% a year over 4 years. Historical EPS growth of -38% would project the company towards zero. Floored at -15% as a starting point.
- EPS in 5 years
- $0.93
- Implied price
- $36.09
- Return from $73.89
- -13.4% a year
To earn 15.0% a year on these assumptions you'd need to buy at $17.94 — -75.7% below today's price.
How sensitive is that answer?
Annual return across nearby assumptions. If the result is only attractive in one corner, that is the finding.
| growth \ P/E | 27 | 33 | 39 | 45 | 51 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -25.0% | -29.0% | -26.1% | -23.5% | -21.3% | -19.3% |
| -20.0% | -24.2% | -21.1% | -18.4% | -16.1% | -14.0% |
| -15.0% | -19.5% | -16.2% | -13.4% | -10.8% | -8.6% |
| -10.0% | -14.8% | -11.3% | -8.3% | -5.6% | -3.2% |
| -5.0% | -10.0% | -6.3% | -3.2% | -0.3% | 2.2% |
This is arithmetic on assumptions you chose, not a forecast or a recommendation. It ignores dividends, buybacks, share issuance and debt, and it assumes a company still earning money in 5 years. Change any input and the answer changes a lot — that sensitivity is the honest result, not a flaw in the model.
Mentions (1)
- Newsmarketbeat.com·7d ago·Negative
Louisiana-Pacific Q2 Earnings Call Highlights Louisiana-Pacific NYSE: LPX reported lower second-quarter sales and EBITDA as weak oriented strand board, or OSB, pricing weighed on results, while its Siding segment remained profitable and the company said it expects that business to return to year-over-year growth in the third quarter.
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