Price (90d)
$14.79Signal Score (90d)
100Quote
Valuation & Ratios
Returns & Efficiency
Revenue & Net Income (Annual)
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Net Income | EPS |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $5.35B | $397.60M | $1.25 |
| 2024 | $5.38B | $541.82M | $1.59 |
| 2023 | $5.44B | $214.35M | $0.61 |
| 2022 | $5.43B | $393.91M | $1.11 |
| 2021 | $5.46B | $902.99M | $2.58 |
Social Signal Score
Earnings
Tue, Oct 27(in 2 months)
Consensus estimate $1.03 per share
Typical surprise +16.7% (median, so one quarter with a near-zero estimate can't distort it)
- Tue, Aug 4$0.01 vs $0.04miss
- Wed, Apr 29$-0.20 vs $-0.24beat
- Tue, Feb 10$0.39 vs $0.53miss
- Tue, Oct 21$0.89 vs $1.05miss
- Wed, Jul 23$0.19 vs $0.16beat
- Mon, May 5$-0.03 vs $-0.11beat
Estimates and results for MAT via Financial Modeling Prep. Beating consensus says the company cleared the bar analysts set, not that the business grew.
Valuation
Project earnings forward and see what return today's price implies.
Seeded from MAT's reported EPS growth of -16.6% a year over 4 years. Historical EPS growth of -17% would project the company towards zero. Floored at -15% as a starting point.
- EPS in 5 years
- $0.55
- Implied price
- $8.87
- Return from $15.03
- -10.0% a year
To earn 15.0% a year on these assumptions you'd need to buy at $4.41 — -70.7% below today's price.
How sensitive is that answer?
Annual return across nearby assumptions. If the result is only attractive in one corner, that is the finding.
| growth \ P/E | 12 | 14 | 16 | 18 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -25.0% | -25.0% | -22.7% | -20.6% | -18.7% | -17.0% |
| -20.0% | -20.0% | -17.5% | -15.3% | -13.3% | -11.4% |
| -15.0% | -15.0% | -12.4% | -10.0% | -7.9% | -5.9% |
| -10.0% | -10.0% | -7.2% | -4.7% | -2.4% | -0.4% |
| -5.0% | -5.0% | -2.1% | 0.6% | 3.0% | 5.2% |
This is arithmetic on assumptions you chose, not a forecast or a recommendation. It ignores dividends, buybacks, share issuance and debt, and it assumes a company still earning money in 5 years. Change any input and the answer changes a lot — that sensitivity is the honest result, not a flaw in the model.
Mentions (3)
- Newsforbes.com·1d ago·Neutral
Mattel Releasing Two New Exclusive ‘Wednesday' Monster High Dolls New dolls of Jenna Ortega's Wednesday Addams and Evie Templeton's Agnes DeMille from Tim Burton's blockbuster Netflix series Wednesday are coming soon to Mattel's Monster High line.
View source ↗ - News (RSS)investing.com·4d ago·Negative
Hasbro vs Mattel: valuation, growth, and balance sheet compared
View source ↗ - News (Marketaux)forbes.com·6d ago·Positive
Mattel's Whitney Houston Barbie Collector’s Doll Goes On Sale Mattel Inc. Matte[+177 characters]
View source ↗