Price (90d)
$18.49Signal Score (90d)
50Quote
Valuation & Ratios
Returns & Efficiency
Revenue & Net Income (Annual)
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Net Income | EPS |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $179.69M | $8.80M | $0.19 |
| 2024 | $172.08M | $3.28M | $0.07 |
| 2023 | $172.55M | $8.03M | $0.18 |
| 2022 | $144.80M | $3.69M | $0.08 |
| 2021 | $119.80M | $7.98M | $0.18 |
Social Signal Score
Earnings
Thu, Dec 10(in 4 months)
Consensus estimate $0.18 per share
Typical surprise +23.5% (median, so one quarter with a near-zero estimate can't distort it)
- Thu, Aug 6$0.34 vs $0.28beat
- Thu, May 7$0.38 vs $0.32beat
- Thu, Feb 5$0.26 vs $0.18beat
- Thu, Dec 11$0.24 vs $0.18beat
- Thu, Aug 7$0.22 vs $0.18beat
- Thu, May 8$0.36 vs $0.26beat
Estimates and results for MITK via Financial Modeling Prep. Beating consensus says the company cleared the bar analysts set, not that the business grew.
Valuation
Project earnings forward and see what return today's price implies.
Seeded from MITK's reported EPS growth of 1.4% a year over 4 years.
- EPS in 5 years
- $0.21
- Implied price
- $10.52
- Return from $19.43
- -11.5% a year
To earn 15.0% a year on these assumptions you'd need to buy at $5.23 — -73.1% below today's price.
How sensitive is that answer?
Annual return across nearby assumptions. If the result is only attractive in one corner, that is the finding.
| growth \ P/E | 35 | 43 | 51 | 59 | 67 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -8.6% | -26.1% | -22.9% | -20.3% | -17.9% | -15.8% |
| -3.6% | -22.0% | -18.7% | -15.9% | -13.4% | -11.2% |
| 1.4% | -18.0% | -14.5% | -11.5% | -8.9% | -6.6% |
| 6.4% | -13.9% | -10.3% | -7.2% | -4.4% | -2.0% |
| 11.4% | -9.9% | -6.1% | -2.8% | 0.0% | 2.6% |
This is arithmetic on assumptions you chose, not a forecast or a recommendation. It ignores dividends, buybacks, share issuance and debt, and it assumes a company still earning money in 5 years. Change any input and the answer changes a lot — that sensitivity is the honest result, not a flaw in the model.
Mentions (1)
- Newsseekingalpha.com·7d ago·Negative
Mitek Systems: Q3 Improves My Thesis Mitek Systems demonstrates accelerating SaaS and Fraud & Identity growth, with Q3 revenue up 18% YoY and robust profitability. MITK's SaaS revenue grew 36% YoY, while adjusted EBITDA margin reached 38.5%, signaling a successful transition beyond legacy check products. Check Verification Solutions remain resilient, with new strategic value emerging via the Check Fraud Defender network.
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