Price
$12.96-0.23%Social Signal Score
Analyst Ratings
15 analystsRevenue
$405.95M+78.99%Analyst Estimates
Consensus estimates, not results. Via Financial Modeling Prep.
Company Profile
- CEO
- Tom L. Ward
- Sector
- Energy
- Industry
- Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
- Employees
- 840
- Beta
- -0.46
- Country
- US
- Piotroski score
- 6 / 9 (Middling)
- Altman Z-score
- 1.09
Financials
Revenue
$405.95M+79.0%Net Income
$98.21M-11.8%EBITDA
$220.96M+72.7%Free Cash Flow
$58.28M-35.0%EPS (diluted)
$0.58-50.4%Shares Outstanding (diluted)
168.03M+76.9%Operating Expenses
$8.82MCash & Debt
$41.19MReturn of Capital
$106.89MRevenue by Segment (annual)
$376.23MDividend per Share
$0.36Quote
Valuation & Ratios
Returns & Efficiency
Revenue & Net Income (Annual)
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Net Income | EPS |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $1.18B | $285.97M | $1.09 |
| 2024 | $969.63M | $185.18M | $1.90 |
| 2023 | $762.31M | $346.56M | $0.72 |
| 2022 | $937.41M | $516.84M | $5.44 |
| 2021 | $392.50M | $138.37M | $1.46 |
Valuation
Project earnings forward and see what return today's price implies.
Seeded from MNR's reported EPS growth of -7.0% a year over 4 years.
- EPS in 5 years
- $1.51
- Implied price
- $15.13
- Return from $10.66
- 7.3% a year
To earn 15.0% a year on these assumptions you'd need to buy at $7.52 — -29.4% below today's price.
How sensitive is that answer?
Annual return across nearby assumptions. If the result is only attractive in one corner, that is the finding.
| growth \ P/E | 6 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -17.0% | -13.6% | -8.5% | -4.3% | -0.7% | 2.4% |
| -12.0% | -8.4% | -2.9% | 1.5% | 5.3% | 8.6% |
| -7.0% | -3.2% | 2.6% | 7.3% | 11.2% | 14.7% |
| -2.0% | 2.0% | 8.1% | 13.0% | 17.2% | 20.9% |
| 3.0% | 7.3% | 13.6% | 18.8% | 23.2% | 27.1% |
This is arithmetic on assumptions you chose, not a forecast or a recommendation. It ignores dividends, buybacks, share issuance and debt, and it assumes a company still earning money in 5 years. Change any input and the answer changes a lot — that sensitivity is the honest result, not a flaw in the model.
Signal Score (90d)
80-20.00%Social Signal Score
Mentions (3)
- Newsfool.com·7h ago·Negative
CEO Tom Ward Acquires 172,000 Mach Natural Resources Units for $2.0 Million. Is the Oil Boom a Gusher for the Stock? The insider acquired ~172,000 common units at $11.60 per share for a total transaction value of ~$2.0 million. The transaction size equaled 0.61% of the total equity stake held before the filing, bringing the aggregate position to ~28.4 million shares.
View source ↗ - Newsseekingalpha.com·45d ago·Neutral
Mach Natural Resources: Turning The Next Oil Downturn Into An Opportunity Mach Natural Resources LP remains a Strong Buy, with the market undervaluing its disciplined oil pivot and robust capital allocation. MNR's Q2 saw lower distributions due to elevated CAPEX, but the annualized yield remains attractive amid strategic oil drilling expansion. Management prioritizes reducing leverage toward its 1x target by 2027, positioning MNR for opportunistic acquisitions in cyclical downturns.
View source ↗ - Newsmarketbeat.com·63d ago·Neutral
Mach Natural Resources Q2 Earnings Call Highlights Mach Natural Resources NYSE: MNR reported second-quarter production of 149,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day and generated $154 million in operating cash flow, while maintaining its stated focus on limiting reinvestment to less than 50% of operating cash flow on a year-to-date basis.
View source ↗
Earnings
Thu, Nov 5(in 4 weeks)
Consensus estimate $0.28 per share
Typical surprise +29.4% (median, so one quarter with a near-zero estimate can't distort it)
- Thu, Aug 6$0.58 vs $0.36beat
- Thu, May 7$0.21 vs $0.51miss
- Thu, Mar 12$0.43 vs $0.26beat
- Thu, Nov 6$0.44 vs $0.34beat
- Thu, Aug 7$0.76 vs $0.53beat
- Thu, May 8$0.68 vs $0.69miss
Estimates and results for MNR via Financial Modeling Prep. Beating consensus says the company cleared the bar analysts set, not that the business grew.
Insider trading
Open-market buys and sells by MNR officers and directors.
- Bought
- $108.3m
- Sold
- $78.1m
30 trades
4 trades
- Mcmullen William Wallacebought
- Mcmullen William Wallacebought
- Ward Tom L.bought
- Ward Tom L.bought
- Ward Tom L.bought
- Ikav General Partner S.a R.l.sold
- Ikav General Partner S.a R.l.sold
- Mcmullen William Wallacebought
66 further Form 4 entries are share awards, option exercises or shares withheld for tax. Those are compensation, not trades, so they are excluded above. Buying is the stronger signal: an insider spends their own money for one reason. Selling has many innocent explanations — tax, diversifying, a house — so it says far less than it appears to. Via SEC filings.
Congress trades
No disclosed congressional trades in MNR.
Self-reported filings, amounts as brackets. Via Senate/House disclosures.