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MRLN Merlin, Inc.

NASDAQ Global Market · Aerospace & Defense · Industrials

$3.75
-0.67 (-15.05%)

Merlin, Inc. is a US-based developer of cost-effective, takeoff-to-touchdown autonomy for both legacy and next-generation airborne systems. Its aircraft-agnostic, AI-powered software is purpose-built for military and civil programs and is powering an expanding range of missions and aircraft, proven through numerous autonomous flights from test facilities worldwide. The company works with military …

Market Cap: $362.45Mwww.merlinlabs.com

Price (90d)

No price history yet — the daily price refresh runs once a day.

Signal Score (90d)

100
100
Aug 13Aug 13

Quote

Day Range
$3.61 – $4.15
52-Week Range
$3.27 – $17.00
Volume
$2.20M
Market Cap
$362.45M
50-Day Avg
$4.96
200-Day Avg
$8.83
Prev Close
$4.42
Open
$4.15

Valuation & Ratios

P/E Ratio
58.22
EPS
$0.18
P/B Ratio
1.41
P/S Ratio
0.00
Debt/Equity
0.00
Current Ratio
0.27
Dividend Yield
+0.0%
Gross Margin
+0.0%

Returns & Efficiency

Return on Equity
+2.4%
Return on Assets
+2.3%
FCF Yield
-0.4%
EV/EBITDA
58.77

Revenue & Net Income (Annual)

Fiscal YearRevenueNet IncomeEPS
2025$0.00$6.01M$0.18
2024$1.23M$-55.25M$-1.64
2023$1.00M$-36.46M$-1.08

Social Signal Score

51
5d
51
2 mentions
30d
51
2 mentions
60d
51
2 mentions
90d
51
2 mentions
news: 2

Earnings

Thu, Nov 12(in 3 months)

Consensus estimate $-0.23 per share

0of 2 quarters beat consensus

Typical surprise -789.5% (median, so one quarter with a near-zero estimate can't distort it)

  • Thu, Aug 13$-1.40 vs $-0.28miss
  • Thu, May 14$-1.27 vs $-0.10miss

Estimates and results for MRLN via Financial Modeling Prep. Beating consensus says the company cleared the bar analysts set, not that the business grew.

Valuation

Project earnings forward and see what return today's price implies.

EPS was negative in at least one boundary year, so a compound growth rate can't be computed from it. Set your own assumption.

EPS in 5 years
$0.26
Implied price
$15.17
Return from $3.75
32.2% a year

To earn 15.0% a year on these assumptions you'd need to buy at $7.54 — today's price is already 50.2% below that.

How sensitive is that answer?

Annual return across nearby assumptions. If the result is only attractive in one corner, that is the finding.

growth \ P/E4049586776
-2.0%11.4%16.0%20.0%23.5%26.6%
3.0%17.1%21.9%26.1%29.8%33.1%
8.0%22.7%27.8%32.2%36.1%39.6%
13.0%28.4%33.7%38.3%42.4%46.0%
18.0%34.1%39.7%44.5%48.7%52.5%

This is arithmetic on assumptions you chose, not a forecast or a recommendation. It ignores dividends, buybacks, share issuance and debt, and it assumes a company still earning money in 5 years. Change any input and the answer changes a lot — that sensitivity is the honest result, not a flaw in the model.

Mentions (2)

  • Newsmarketbeat.com·1d ago·Neutral

    Merlin, Inc. Common Stock Q2 Earnings Call Highlights Merlin, Inc. Common Stock NASDAQ: MRLN reported second-quarter revenue of approximately $2.2 million as the aviation-autonomy company advanced its C-130J program, expanded its commercial cargo partnerships and reached a certification milestone with New Zealand's aviation regulator.

    View source ↗
  • Newsglobenewswire.com·1d ago·Neutral

    Merlin, Inc. Reports Second Quarter 2026 Results BOSTON, Aug. 13, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Merlin, Inc. (Nasdaq: MRLN), an aerospace and defense technology company building the operating system of record for autonomous flight, today announced operating and financial results for its second quarter ended June 30, 2026. Business Highlights USSOCOM C-130J contract progress.

    View source ↗