Price (90d)
$28.39Signal Score (90d)
100Quote
Valuation & Ratios
Returns & Efficiency
Revenue & Net Income (Annual)
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Net Income | EPS |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $1.33B | $46.44M | $2.02 |
| 2024 | $1.24B | $33.94M | $1.49 |
| 2023 | $1.14B | $23.24M | $1.02 |
| 2022 | $1.09B | $21.36M | $0.94 |
| 2021 | $1.06B | $20.58M | $0.91 |
Social Signal Score
Earnings
Thu, Nov 19(in 3 months)
Consensus estimate $0.55 per share
Typical surprise +10.9% (median, so one quarter with a near-zero estimate can't distort it)
- Thu, Aug 6$0.66 vs $0.52beat
- Thu, May 7$0.62 vs $0.56beat
- Thu, Feb 5$0.49 vs $0.46beat
- Thu, Nov 20$0.51 vs $0.46beat
- Thu, Aug 7$0.50 vs $0.49beat
- Thu, May 8$0.56 vs $0.42beat
Estimates and results for NGVC via Financial Modeling Prep. Beating consensus says the company cleared the bar analysts set, not that the business grew.
Valuation
Project earnings forward and see what return today's price implies.
Seeded from NGVC's reported EPS growth of 22.1% a year over 4 years.
- EPS in 5 years
- $5.50
- Implied price
- $109.90
- Return from $28.13
- 31.3% a year
To earn 15.0% a year on these assumptions you'd need to buy at $54.64 — today's price is already 48.5% below that.
How sensitive is that answer?
Annual return across nearby assumptions. If the result is only attractive in one corner, that is the finding.
| growth \ P/E | 14 | 17 | 20 | 23 | 26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12.1% | 12.3% | 16.7% | 20.6% | 24.0% | 27.1% |
| 17.1% | 17.3% | 21.9% | 26.0% | 29.5% | 32.7% |
| 22.1% | 22.3% | 27.1% | 31.3% | 35.1% | 38.4% |
| 27.1% | 27.3% | 32.3% | 36.7% | 40.6% | 44.1% |
| 32.1% | 32.3% | 37.5% | 42.1% | 46.1% | 49.7% |
This is arithmetic on assumptions you chose, not a forecast or a recommendation. It ignores dividends, buybacks, share issuance and debt, and it assumes a company still earning money in 5 years. Change any input and the answer changes a lot — that sensitivity is the honest result, not a flaw in the model.
Mentions (3)
- Newszacks.com·3d ago·Neutral
Natural Grocers' Stock Down 14% as Q3 Earnings Decline Y/Y NGVC's fiscal Q3 earnings per share decline year over year on lower margins and increased pre-opening costs, partly offset by comparable-store sales growth. Management narrows its fiscal 2026 EPS outlook.
View source ↗ - Newsprnewswire.com·5d ago·Neutral
Natural Grocers® Announces Career Opportunities Ahead of Appleton, Wisconsin Store Opening LAKEWOOD, Colo., Aug. 10, 2026 /PRNewswire/ -- Natural Grocers®, the nation's largest family-operated organic and natural grocery retailer, is hiring for multiple positions ahead of the opening of its new Appleton, Wisconsin store this fall.
View source ↗ - Newsmarketbeat.com·6d ago·Neutral
Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Q3 Earnings Call Highlights Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage NYSE: NGVC reported a 1.8% increase in third-quarter fiscal 2026 net sales to $334.7 million, as comparable-store sales growth accelerated sequentially despite what management described as a challenging consumer environment.
View source ↗