Price
$28.39-13.97%Social Signal Score
Analyst Ratings
16 analystsRevenue
$334.74M+84.89%Analyst Estimates
Consensus estimates, not results. Via Financial Modeling Prep.
Company Profile
- CEO
- Kemper Isely
- Sector
- Consumer Defensive
- Industry
- Grocery Stores
- Employees
- 3,853
- Beta
- 1.25
- Country
- US
- Piotroski score
- 5 / 9 (Middling)
- Altman Z-score
- 3.59
Financials
Revenue
$334.74M+84.9%Net Income
$11.07M+655.3%EBITDA
$39.45M+289.2%Free Cash Flow
$1.70MEPS (diluted)
$0.48+585.7%Shares Outstanding (diluted)
23.26M+3.5%Operating Expenses
$9.50MCash & Debt
$17.47MReturn of Capital
$4.62MRevenue by Segment (annual)
$800.0KDividend per Share
$0.15Quote
Valuation & Ratios
Returns & Efficiency
Revenue & Net Income (Annual)
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Net Income | EPS |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $1.33B | $46.44M | $2.02 |
| 2024 | $1.24B | $33.94M | $1.49 |
| 2023 | $1.14B | $23.24M | $1.02 |
| 2022 | $1.09B | $21.36M | $0.94 |
| 2021 | $1.06B | $20.58M | $0.91 |
| 2020 | $1.04B | $20.01M | $0.89 |
| 2019 | $903.58M | $9.42M | $0.42 |
| 2018 | $849.04M | $12.66M | $0.57 |
| 2017 | $769.03M | $6.89M | $0.31 |
| 2016 | $705.50M | $11.47M | $0.51 |
| 2015 | $624.68M | $16.20M | $0.72 |
| 2014 | $520.67M | $13.47M | $0.60 |
| 2013 | $430.65M | $10.55M | $0.47 |
| 2012 | $336.39M | $6.65M | $0.30 |
Valuation
Project earnings forward and see what return today's price implies.
Seeded from NGVC's reported EPS growth of 15.8% a year over 13 years.
- EPS in 5 years
- $4.22
- Implied price
- $84.33
- Return from $30.39
- 22.6% a year
To earn 15.0% a year on these assumptions you'd need to buy at $41.93 — today's price is already 27.5% below that.
How sensitive is that answer?
Annual return across nearby assumptions. If the result is only attractive in one corner, that is the finding.
| growth \ P/E | 14 | 17 | 20 | 23 | 26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.8% | 4.3% | 8.5% | 12.1% | 15.2% | 18.1% |
| 10.8% | 9.3% | 13.6% | 17.3% | 20.7% | 23.7% |
| 15.8% | 14.2% | 18.7% | 22.6% | 26.1% | 29.3% |
| 20.8% | 19.1% | 23.8% | 27.9% | 31.6% | 34.8% |
| 25.8% | 24.1% | 29.0% | 33.2% | 37.0% | 40.4% |
This is arithmetic on assumptions you chose, not a forecast or a recommendation. It ignores dividends, buybacks, share issuance and debt, and it assumes a company still earning money in 5 years. Change any input and the answer changes a lot — that sensitivity is the honest result, not a flaw in the model.
Signal Score (90d)
50+0.00%Social Signal Score
Mentions (9)
- Newsprnewswire.com·5d ago·Neutral
Celebrate Autumnfest With Natural Grocers®, Oct. 8-10, 2026 Exclusive savings of up to 51% off for power® members, plus free samples and a chance to win $500 in groceries for all customers LAKEWOOD, Colo., Oct. 1, 2026 /PRNewswire/ -- Crisp air, colorful leaves and cozy seasonal traditions are back, and so is Natural Grocers®' fourth annual Autumnfest celebration.
View source ↗ - Newsprnewswire.com·20d ago·Positive
Natural Grocers® Opens Its Doors in Appleton, Wisconsin, With a Grand Opening Celebration on September 30, 2026 Customers will enjoy unbeatable savings, exciting giveaways, sweepstakes, samples and more LAKEWOOD, Colo., Sept. 16, 2026 /PRNewswire/ -- Natural Grocers®, the leading family-operated organic and natural grocery retailer in the U.S., announces the opening of a new store in Appleton, Wisconsin, on Wednesday, September 30, 2026.
View source ↗ - Newsprnewswire.com·40d ago·Neutral
Natural Grocers® Marks Organic Month With Nationwide Fundraiser for Rodale Institute Customers can help support Rodale Institute's Farmer Training and Veteran Farmer Training programs while enjoying special savings, education and Organic Month events LAKEWOOD, Colo., Aug. 27, 2026 /PRNewswire/ -- This Organic Month, Natural Grocers® is inviting customers to join a movement that extends far beyond the grocery aisle.
View source ↗ - Newsprnewswire.com·42d ago·Neutral
Natural Grocers® Hosts Virtual Hiring Event for Los Alamos, New Mexico Location on August 27, 2026 LAKEWOOD, Colo., Aug. 24, 2026 /PRNewswire/ -- Natural Grocers®, the nation's largest family-operated organic and natural grocery retailer, is hosting a virtual hiring event for a variety of positions available at its Los Alamos store located at 1501 Trinity Dr., Los Alamos, NM 87544.
View source ↗ - Newsprnewswire.com·43d ago·Negative
Natural Grocers® Announces One-Day Anniversary Afterparty With Encore Savings, Freebies and a Chance to Win a Year of Free Groceries, Aug. 27, 2026 Loyalty members get one more chance to enjoy up to 52% off hundreds of premium-quality items during the retailer's 71st Anniversary encore event LAKEWOOD, Colo., Aug. 24, 2026 /PRNewswire/ -- Natural Grocers® , the largest family-operated organic and natural grocery retailer in the U.S., is keeping the celebration going with a one-day Anniversary Aft
View source ↗ - Newsprnewswire.com·45d ago·Neutral
Natural Grocers® Hosts In-Person Hiring Event in Appleton, Wisconsin on August 25, 2026 LAKEWOOD, Colo., Aug. 22, 2026 /PRNewswire/ -- Natural Grocers®, the nation's largest family-operated organic and natural grocery retailer, is hosting an in-person hiring event for a variety of positions ahead of the opening of its new Appleton, Wisconsin store this fall.
View source ↗ - Newszacks.com·54d ago·Neutral
Natural Grocers' Stock Down 14% as Q3 Earnings Decline Y/Y NGVC's fiscal Q3 earnings per share decline year over year on lower margins and increased pre-opening costs, partly offset by comparable-store sales growth. Management narrows its fiscal 2026 EPS outlook.
View source ↗ - Newsprnewswire.com·56d ago·Neutral
Natural Grocers® Announces Career Opportunities Ahead of Appleton, Wisconsin Store Opening LAKEWOOD, Colo., Aug. 10, 2026 /PRNewswire/ -- Natural Grocers®, the nation's largest family-operated organic and natural grocery retailer, is hiring for multiple positions ahead of the opening of its new Appleton, Wisconsin store this fall.
View source ↗ - Newsmarketbeat.com·58d ago·Neutral
Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Q3 Earnings Call Highlights Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage NYSE: NGVC reported a 1.8% increase in third-quarter fiscal 2026 net sales to $334.7 million, as comparable-store sales growth accelerated sequentially despite what management described as a challenging consumer environment.
View source ↗
Earnings
Thu, Nov 19(in 6 weeks)
Consensus estimate $0.55 per share
Typical surprise +10.9% (median, so one quarter with a near-zero estimate can't distort it)
- Thu, Aug 6$0.66 vs $0.52beat
- Thu, May 7$0.62 vs $0.56beat
- Thu, Feb 5$0.49 vs $0.46beat
- Thu, Nov 20$0.51 vs $0.46beat
- Thu, Aug 7$0.50 vs $0.49beat
- Thu, May 8$0.56 vs $0.42beat
Estimates and results for NGVC via Financial Modeling Prep. Beating consensus says the company cleared the bar analysts set, not that the business grew.
Insider trading
Open-market buys and sells by NGVC officers and directors.
- Bought
- —
- Sold
- $947k
0 trades
9 trades
- Isely Charitysold
- Isely Larksold
- Isely Larksold
- Isely Larksold
- Isely Charitysold
- Isely Larksold
- Dissinger Toddsold
- Dissinger Toddsold
91 further Form 4 entries are share awards, option exercises or shares withheld for tax. Those are compensation, not trades, so they are excluded above. Buying is the stronger signal: an insider spends their own money for one reason. Selling has many innocent explanations — tax, diversifying, a house — so it says far less than it appears to. Via SEC filings.
Congress trades
No disclosed congressional trades in NGVC.
Self-reported filings, amounts as brackets. Via Senate/House disclosures.