Price
No data yet.
Social Signal Score
Analyst Ratings
28 analystsRevenue
$2.23B+210.14%Analyst Estimates
Consensus estimates, not results. Via Financial Modeling Prep.
Company Profile
- CEO
- David L. Finkelstein
- Sector
- Real Estate
- Industry
- REIT - Mortgage
- Employees
- 212
- Beta
- 1.24
- Country
- US
- Piotroski score
- 5 / 9 (Middling)
- Altman Z-score
- -0.53
Financials
Revenue
$2.23B+210.1%Net Income
$822.67M+12.5%EBITDA
$2.16B+125.3%Free Cash Flow
$1.41BEPS (diluted)
$1.07-61.8%Shares Outstanding (diluted)
732.32M+190.6%Operating Expenses
$58.19MCash & Debt
$2.91BReturn of Capital
$552.40MRevenue by Segment (annual)
$64.40MDividend per Share
$0.75Quote
Valuation & Ratios
Returns & Efficiency
Revenue & Net Income (Annual)
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Net Income | EPS |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $6.70B | $2.03B | $2.92 |
| 2024 | $6.36B | $1.00B | $1.62 |
| 2023 | $5.61B | $-1.64B | $-3.61 |
| 2022 | $4.15B | $1.73B | $3.93 |
| 2021 | $751.40M | $2.39B | $6.40 |
| 2020 | $1.48B | $-891.16M | $-2.92 |
| 2019 | $1.81B | $-2.16B | $-6.41 |
| 2018 | $2.08B | $54.41M | $0.18 |
| 2017 | $2.35B | $1.57B | $5.48 |
| 2016 | $1.99B | $1.43B | $5.56 |
| 2015 | $1.39B | $466.56M | $1.68 |
| 2014 | $943.75M | $-842.08M | $-3.84 |
| 2013 | $2.38B | $3.73B | $15.44 |
| 2012 | $2.93B | $1.74B | $6.96 |
Valuation
Project earnings forward and see what return today's price implies.
Seeded from NLY's reported EPS growth of -6.5% a year over 13 years.
- EPS in 5 years
- $2.27
- Implied price
- $18.12
- Return from $18.50
- -0.4% a year
To earn 15.0% a year on these assumptions you'd need to buy at $9.01 — -51.3% below today's price.
How sensitive is that answer?
Annual return across nearby assumptions. If the result is only attractive in one corner, that is the finding.
| growth \ P/E | 4 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -16.5% | -22.6% | -16.0% | -11.1% | -7.0% | -3.6% |
| -11.5% | -17.9% | -11.0% | -5.7% | -1.4% | 2.2% |
| -6.5% | -13.3% | -6.0% | -0.4% | 4.1% | 8.0% |
| -1.5% | -8.7% | -1.0% | 4.9% | 9.7% | 13.8% |
| 3.5% | -4.0% | 4.1% | 10.2% | 15.3% | 19.6% |
This is arithmetic on assumptions you chose, not a forecast or a recommendation. It ignores dividends, buybacks, share issuance and debt, and it assumes a company still earning money in 5 years. Change any input and the answer changes a lot — that sensitivity is the honest result, not a flaw in the model.
Signal Score (90d)
80+60.00%Social Signal Score
Mentions (24)
- Newszacks.com·4d ago·Positive
Annaly Capital Management (NLY) Stock Dips While Market Gains: Key Facts Annaly Capital Management (NLY) closed the most recent trading day at $18.7, moving 1.01% from the previous trading session.
View source ↗ - News (Marketaux)gurufocus.com·5d ago·Positive
Annaly Capital Management Inc (NLY) Stock Down 7.0% but Still Overvalued -- GF Score: 77/100 On September 30, 2026, Annaly <[+297 characters]
View source ↗ - News (RSS)seekingalpha·5d ago·Neutral
Annaly Capital Management: Rate Swaps Doing The Heavy Lifting For This REIT
View source ↗ - Newsseekingalpha.com·5d ago·Positive
Annaly Capital Became A Buy At 15% Yield And 1x P/TBV (Rating Upgrade) Annaly Capital is upgraded to a buy as downside risks are now fully compensated by a nearly 15% forward yield and discounted valuation. NLY's FQ2 earnings showed normalized EPS of $0.79, beating consensus, with core ROE at 15.7%. The quarterly dividend was increased by 7% to $0.75 per share, with current payout covered by organic EPS.
View source ↗ - Newsinvezz.com·6d ago·Neutral
Annaly Capital is in a freefall: is it a safe buy as dividend yield hits 14.7%? Annaly Capital stock has plunged this month, reaching its lowest level since March of this year. NLY has slumped in the last six consecutive days, its longest losing streak in over a year.
View source ↗ - Newsseekingalpha.com·6d ago·Positive
…nnaly Capital Management is aggressively expanding its MBS portfolio, driving a 28% YoY increase in earnings available for distribution and supporting a 14.5% yield. NLY's portfolio mix is shifting toward Residential Credit, enhancing income predictability and stability, while maintaining strong credit quality with a FICO score of 763 and LTV at 67%. Strategic coupon upgrades and efficient use of TBA positions are boosting interest income and dividend coverage, with agency segment dividends cove…
View source ↗ - News (RSS)seekingalpha·6d ago·Negative
Annaly Capital: The Fed Just Changed The Game (Rating Downgrade)
View source ↗ - Newszacks.com·6d ago·Neutral
Can Annaly Maintain Its Attractive Dividend and Capital Returns? NLY maintains its 75-cent quarterly dividend as portfolio strength, liquidity and capital discipline support sustainable shareholder returns.
View source ↗ - Newszacks.com·11d ago·Negative
Why Annaly Capital Management (NLY) Dipped More Than Broader Market Today In the closing of the recent trading day, Annaly Capital Management (NLY) stood at $20.6, denoting a -2.09% move from the preceding trading day.
View source ↗ - News (RSS)fool·16d ago·Neutral
Is Annaly Capital's 13% Dividend Safe Through a Full Rate Cycle? Annaly Capital raised its dividend in June, but investors need to put that increase into its historical context.
View source ↗ - Newsfool.com·16d ago·Neutral
Is Annaly Capital's 13% Dividend Safe Through a Full Rate Cycle? Annaly Capital is a well-respected mortgage REIT, offering investors an over 13% dividend yield. The mREIT's dividend history presents a cautionary tale about what investors should expect on the dividend front.
View source ↗ - Newszacks.com·17d ago·Positive
Annaly Capital Management (NLY) Stock Sinks As Market Gains: Here's Why In the latest trading session, Annaly Capital Management (NLY) closed at $21.05, marking a -1.22% move from the previous day.
View source ↗ - Newsseekingalpha.com·23d ago·Neutral
…estment income drops, forcing distribution cuts and lower market prices. When a portfolio re-expands sustainably, earnings growth pulls valuations back to a premium. NLY expanded its total portfolio from $73 billion in 2023 back to $107 billion in 2026, directly driving its dividend hike from $0.65 to $0.75 per quarter. Rebuilding its asset base and demonstrating sustainable dividend coverage allowed $NLY to transition from a 10–15% discount up to a 10–15% premium to book value.
View source ↗ - Newsseekingalpha.com·26d ago·Positive
8.6% Dividend Yield From Annaly Capital Is A Bit Too Overpriced Annaly Capital Management preferred NLY-J offers a low-risk profile and fixed 8.63% stripped yield but is currently overpriced. NLY-J trades at $25.72, well above the $23.83 buy-under target and $24.77 overpriced threshold, limiting its risk-adjusted appeal. Despite strong risk metrics, call protection until 9/30/2030, and an attractive fixed coupon, current valuation undermines its investment case.
View source ↗ - News (RSS)seekingalpha·26d ago·Neutral
Annaly Capital Management declares $0.75 dividend
View source ↗ - Newsbusinesswire.com·26d ago·Neutral
Annaly Capital Management, Inc. Announces 3rd Quarter 2026 Common Stock Dividend of $0.75 per Share NEW YORK--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Annaly Capital Management, Inc. Announces 3rd Quarter 2026 Common Stock Dividend of $0.75 per Share.
View source ↗ - Newsprnewswire.com·31d ago·Neutral
Physical AI Firm XTEND Set to Make NYSE Trading Debut: NYSE Content Update NYSE issues a pre-market daily advisory direct from the trading floor. NEW YORK, Sept.
View source ↗ - Newsdefenseworld.net·34d ago·Neutral
Contrasting Annaly Capital Management (NYSE:NLY) & AGNC Investment (NASDAQ:AGNCZ) Annaly Capital Management (NYSE: NLY - Get Free Report) and AGNC Investment (NASDAQ: AGNCZ - Get Free Report) are both finance companies, but which is the superior business? We will compare the two companies based on the strength of their profitability, valuation, institutional ownership, dividends, analyst recommendations, risk and earnings. Analyst Recommendations This is a summary of
View source ↗ - Newsseekingalpha.com·38d ago·Neutral
Annaly Capital: The 13% Yield Is Covered, But The Premium To Book Value Matters Annaly Capital Management offers a 13% dividend yield, currently covered by Q2 EAD of $0.79 versus a $0.75 dividend. NLY trades at 1.14x book value, limiting margin of safety despite improving fundamentals and diversified portfolio exposure. Strong hedging (97% ratio) and portfolio diversification support earnings, but modest dividend coverage and premium valuation temper upside.
View source ↗ - Newsseekingalpha.com·39d ago·Neutral
Annaly Capital: Three Return Streams Support A Premium To Book Annaly Capital Management is rated Buy at $22.94, with a base case fair value of $25.55, implying 11.4% price upside. NLY's diversified allocation across Agency MBS, Residential Credit, and MSR supports a blended target return of 14.58%, well above its 11.5% cost of equity. Agency segment growth, falling funding costs, and rising asset yields are driving returns toward management's 14%-16% target range.
View source ↗ - News (RSS)seekingalpha·42d ago·Neutral
Mortgage REITs Yield Up To 18%: Buy Rithm Capital And Annaly Capital, Avoid Dynex Capital And Armour Residential
View source ↗ - Newsseekingalpha.com·42d ago·Positive
Mortgage REITs Yield Up To 18%: Buy Rithm Capital And Annaly Capital, Avoid Dynex Capital And Armour Residential Rithm Capital offers the best combination of strong dividend coverage (2.4x) and a substantial discount to book value (~0.82x). Annaly Capital earns a Buy rating for its consistent dividend coverage and improving fundamentals, despite trading above book value and thinner coverage. Dynex Capital and Armour Residential provide higher yields but lack sufficient earnings cushion, making t
View source ↗ - Newszacks.com·46d ago·Neutral
Why Is Annaly (NLY) Up 5.9% Since Last Earnings Report? Annaly (NLY) reported earnings 30 days ago. What's next for the stock?
View source ↗ - News (Marketaux)finance.yahoo.com·47d ago·Neutral
5 of JP Morgan’s Top Stock Picks Pay Big Dividends and One Yields Over 12% Annaly Capital Man[+138 characters]
View source ↗
Earnings
Tue, Oct 20(in 2 weeks)
Consensus estimate $0.78 per share
Typical surprise +2.0% (median, so one quarter with a near-zero estimate can't distort it)
- Tue, Jul 21$0.79 vs $0.75beat
- Tue, Apr 21$0.76 vs $0.74beat
- Wed, Jan 28$0.74 vs $0.72beat
- Wed, Oct 22$0.73 vs $0.72beat
- Wed, Jul 23$0.73 vs $0.72beat
- Wed, Apr 30$0.72 vs $0.71beat
Estimates and results for NLY via Financial Modeling Prep. Beating consensus says the company cleared the bar analysts set, not that the business grew.
Insider trading
Open-market buys and sells by NLY officers and directors.
- Bought
- —
- Sold
- $15.8m
0 trades
19 trades
- Finkelstein David Lsold
- Wolfe Serenasold
- Finkelstein David Lsold
- Campbell Steven Francissold
- Finkelstein David Lsold
- Wolfe Serenasold
- Campbell Steven Francissold
- Finkelstein David Lsold
81 further Form 4 entries are share awards, option exercises or shares withheld for tax. Those are compensation, not trades, so they are excluded above. Buying is the stronger signal: an insider spends their own money for one reason. Selling has many innocent explanations — tax, diversifying, a house — so it says far less than it appears to. Via SEC filings.
Congress trades
- John Neely Kennedysenate · LA · disclosed May 8, 2025 (17d later)Buy$1,001 - $15,000
- Daniel Goldmanhouse · NY10 · disclosed Apr 17, 2023 (42d later)Sell$1,001 - $15,000
- Daniel Goldmanhouse · NY10 · disclosed Apr 17, 2023 (47d later)Sell$1,001 - $15,000
- Bob Gibbshouse · OH07 · disclosed Jan 13, 2020 (5d later)Buy$1,001 - $15,000
- Bob Gibbshouse · OH07 · disclosed Dec 20, 2019 (1d later)Buy$1,001 - $15,000
- Bob Gibbshouse · OH07 · disclosed Mar 31, 2019 (5d later)Buy$1,001 - $15,000
- Bob Gibbshouse · OH07 · disclosed Mar 25, 2019 (3d later)Buy$1,001 - $15,000
- Bob Gibbshouse · OH07 · disclosed Sep 19, 2018 (13d later)Sell$15,001 - $50,000
- Bob Gibbshouse · OH07 · disclosed Sep 3, 2018 (7d later)Buy$1,001 - $15,000
- Bob Gibbshouse · OH07 · disclosed Jul 3, 2018 (20d later)Buy$1,001 - $15,000
- Bob Gibbshouse · OH07 · disclosed Jul 3, 2018 (0d later)Sell$15,001 - $50,000
- Bob Gibbshouse · OH07 · disclosed May 28, 2018 (4d later)Buy$1,001 - $15,000
Self-reported filings, amounts as brackets. Via Senate/House disclosures.
