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Quote
Valuation & Ratios
Returns & Efficiency
Revenue & Net Income (Annual)
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Net Income | EPS |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $1.10B | $180.75M | $4.99 |
| 2024 | $1.01B | $149.85M | $4.17 |
| 2023 | $699.31M | $54.52M | $1.53 |
| 2022 | $532.58M | $13.74M | $0.39 |
| 2021 | $470.56M | $631.0K | $0.02 |
Earnings
Tue, Nov 17(in 3 months)
Consensus estimate $1.52 per share
Typical surprise +9.6% (median, so one quarter with a near-zero estimate can't distort it)
- Mon, Aug 3$1.42 vs $1.47miss
- Mon, May 4$1.25 vs $1.34miss
- Tue, Feb 3$1.13 vs $0.95beat
- Tue, Nov 18$4.22 vs $3.78beat
- Tue, Aug 5$3.96 vs $3.73beat
- Tue, May 6$3.81 vs $3.34beat
Estimates and results for POWL via Financial Modeling Prep. Beating consensus says the company cleared the bar analysts set, not that the business grew.
Valuation
Project earnings forward and see what return today's price implies.
Seeded from POWL's reported EPS growth of 308.3% a year over 4 years. Historical EPS growth of 308% reflects a recovery from a low base and won't persist. Capped at 30% as a starting point.
- EPS in 5 years
- $18.55
- Implied price
- $370.92
- Return from $213.48
- 11.7% a year
To earn 15.0% a year on these assumptions you'd need to buy at $184.41 — -13.6% below today's price.
How sensitive is that answer?
Annual return across nearby assumptions. If the result is only attractive in one corner, that is the finding.
| growth \ P/E | 14 | 17 | 20 | 23 | 26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20.0% | -4.0% | -0.2% | 3.1% | 6.0% | 8.6% |
| 25.0% | -0.0% | 4.0% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 13.2% |
| 30.0% | 4.0% | 8.1% | 11.7% | 14.8% | 17.7% |
| 35.0% | 8.0% | 12.3% | 16.0% | 19.3% | 22.2% |
| 40.0% | 12.0% | 16.4% | 20.3% | 23.7% | 26.8% |
This is arithmetic on assumptions you chose, not a forecast or a recommendation. It ignores dividends, buybacks, share issuance and debt, and it assumes a company still earning money in 5 years. Change any input and the answer changes a lot — that sensitivity is the honest result, not a flaw in the model.
Mentions (1)
- News (RSS)marketwatch·744d ago·Neutral
Powell says labor market not a source of significant inflation pressure
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