Price (90d)
$158.53Signal Score (90d)
146Quote
Valuation & Ratios
Returns & Efficiency
Revenue & Net Income (Annual)
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Net Income | EPS |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $11.56B | $1.23B | $0.95 |
| 2024 | $8.88B | $2.02B | $1.56 |
| 2023 | $7.06B | $132.00M | $0.10 |
| 2022 | $5.60B | $-3.46B | $-2.73 |
| 2021 | $4.61B | $2.91B | $2.32 |
Social Signal Score
Earnings
Tue, Nov 3(in 3 months)
Consensus estimate $0.44 per share
Typical surprise +1.8% (median, so one quarter with a near-zero estimate can't distort it)
- Wed, Aug 5$0.42 vs $0.40beat
- Tue, May 5$0.36 vs $0.33beat
- Wed, Feb 11$0.46 vs $0.51miss
- Tue, Nov 4$0.34 vs $0.34beat
- Wed, Aug 6$0.35 vs $0.29beat
- Thu, May 8$0.25 vs $0.26miss
Estimates and results for SHOP via Financial Modeling Prep. Beating consensus says the company cleared the bar analysts set, not that the business grew.
Valuation
Project earnings forward and see what return today's price implies.
Seeded from SHOP's reported EPS growth of -20.0% a year over 4 years. Historical EPS growth of -20% would project the company towards zero. Floored at -15% as a starting point.
- EPS in 5 years
- $0.42
- Implied price
- $7.57
- Return from $154.32
- -45.3% a year
To earn 15.0% a year on these assumptions you'd need to buy at $3.76 — -97.6% below today's price.
How sensitive is that answer?
Annual return across nearby assumptions. If the result is only attractive in one corner, that is the finding.
| growth \ P/E | 12 | 15 | 18 | 21 | 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -25.0% | -55.5% | -53.4% | -51.7% | -50.2% | -48.9% |
| -20.0% | -52.5% | -50.3% | -48.5% | -46.9% | -45.5% |
| -15.0% | -49.5% | -47.2% | -45.3% | -43.6% | -42.0% |
| -10.0% | -46.6% | -44.1% | -42.1% | -40.3% | -38.6% |
| -5.0% | -43.6% | -41.0% | -38.8% | -36.9% | -35.2% |
This is arithmetic on assumptions you chose, not a forecast or a recommendation. It ignores dividends, buybacks, share issuance and debt, and it assumes a company still earning money in 5 years. Change any input and the answer changes a lot — that sensitivity is the honest result, not a flaw in the model.
Mentions (13)
- Newsfool.com·1d ago·Negative
Shopify vs. Uber Technologies: What Their Revenue Trends Reveal to Investors. When looking at absolute financial size, Uber Technologies generates a significantly larger volume of total revenue, while Shopify currently demonstrates a much faster rate of percentage growth over time. Both companies display overall upward trajectories with occasional quarter-over-quarter seasonal declines in their historical data, although Shopify consistently records distinctly higher year-over-year percentage inc
View source ↗ - Newszacks.com·1d ago·Neutral
Shopify is Overvalued at 11.24X P/S: Buy, Sell or Hold the Stock? SHOP's premium valuation, margin pressures and rising credit losses weigh on the stock despite strong growth, payments gains and AI opportunities.
View source ↗ - Newszacks.com·2d ago·Positive
Shopify's AI-Driven Commerce Gains Momentum: A Sign of More Upside? SHOP's AI-driven commerce is gaining traction as AI traffic, orders and conversions rise, strengthening its growth prospects.
View source ↗ - Newsetftrends.com·2d ago·Negative
It Might Be Time to Go Shopping With This Shopify ETF Shares of Shopify Inc. (SHOP) surged last week after the Canadian e-commerce technology provider delivered an estimate-thumping second-quarter earnings report. That allayed investors' fears about the company's purported artificial intelligence (AI) vulnerabilities.
View source ↗ - Newsseekingalpha.com·3d ago·Neutral
Shopify: Richer Rule Of 52% Underscores Accelerating SaaS Monetization Flywheel SaaSpocalypse fears have been debunked by SHOP, given the durable monetization cadence across the accelerating GMV, robust retention, and AI-driven commerce tools. The same has been observed in the accelerating Rule of 52% performance in FQ2'26 (+5 points YoY, across revenue growth/FCF margin). SHOP's recent rally has triggered the expensive P/E of 79.81x and 3Y PEG of 2.51x, along with the somewhat pulled forward up
View source ↗ - Newsseekingalpha.com·3d ago·Positive
National Health Investors: Buy The Earnings Dip And Lock In A 5.3% Yield National Health Investors, Inc. is a REIT trading near 52-week lows, offering a 5.3% yield and a forward P/FFO of 14.5. NHI is rapidly expanding its SHOP platform, targeting 40-50% portfolio exposure within 3 years, aiming for higher revenue and profit growth. Recent FFO softness reflects deliberate investments in SHOP infrastructure, with management guiding for 8-9% SHOP NOI growth in H2 and moderating G&A expense growth.
View source ↗ - Newsfxempire.com·3d ago·Positive
Shopify (SHOP) Price Forecast: Breakout Signals Point Toward Higher Prices Shopify's earnings-driven breakout strengthens its bullish outlook, while key support and resistance levels determine whether SHOP can reach new record highs.
View source ↗ - Newszacks.com·5d ago·Positive
Earnings Growth & Price Strength Make Shopify (SHOP) a Stock to Watch The Zacks Focus List offers investors a way to easily find top-rated stocks and build a winning investment portfolio. Here's why you should take advantage.
View source ↗ - Newsseekingalpha.com·5d ago·Positive
Shopify: Proving It Is The Gold Standard For E-Commerce Shopify remains a durable market leader, reaching new highs after strong Q2 results and a 20%+ share price jump. I see the recent rally in SHOP as the beginning of a more robust upward trend, underpinned by resilient GMV performance. My conviction in a "Buy" rating is reinforced by Shopify's ability to adapt and capitalize on AI-driven growth opportunities.
View source ↗ - Newsfool.com·5d ago·Negative
Why Shopify Stock Soared This Week Shopify's sales and free cash flow are surging. Management says the online retail systems provider is well placed to profit from agentic AI.
View source ↗ - Newsfool.com·6d ago·Positive
Why Shopify Stock Could Be the Biggest Winner in Agentic AI Commerce Shopify is helping define agentic commerce and looks poised to be a big winner in this area. The company's core business, meanwhile, continues to demonstrate outstanding growth.
View source ↗ - Newsseekingalpha.com·6d ago·Neutral
Shopify: The Next Era Of E-Commerce Shopify delivered strong GMV growth and margin expansion in Q2, reinforcing its leadership in the retail merchant e-Commerce space. AI integration is driving platform innovation and productivity, with Shopify Magic and Sidekick enhancing merchant capabilities and supporting continued top line growth. Despite a forward revenue multiple of 10.3x, Shopify's strong Merchant Solutions growth and AI potential justify a premium valuation relative to peers.
View source ↗ - Newsfool.com·7d ago·Neutral
Shopify Was Supposed to Be an AI Casualty. Its AI-Referred Traffic Just Tripled. Shopify said AI-referred traffic to its merchants' storefronts tripled year over year in the second quarter. Orders that began with an AI search tripled as well.
View source ↗