Price (90d)
$62.91Signal Score (90d)
100Quote
Valuation & Ratios
Returns & Efficiency
Revenue & Net Income (Annual)
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Net Income | EPS |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $3.41B | $145.20M | $2.52 |
| 2024 | $3.55B | $-34.90M | $-0.61 |
| 2023 | $3.55B | $-380.10M | $-6.79 |
| 2022 | $3.92B | $-437.50M | $-7.88 |
| 2021 | $4.92B | $512.50M | $9.20 |
Social Signal Score
Earnings
Wed, Nov 4(in 3 months)
Consensus estimate $-2.18 per share
Typical surprise +14.1% (median, so one quarter with a near-zero estimate can't distort it)
- Wed, Jul 29$2.82 vs $2.48beat
- Wed, Apr 29$4.53 vs $3.97beat
- Wed, Jan 28$-0.77 vs $-1.04beat
- Wed, Nov 5$-1.96 vs $-1.98beat
- Wed, Jul 30$2.59 vs $2.26beat
- Wed, Apr 30$3.98 vs $3.92beat
Estimates and results for SMG via Financial Modeling Prep. Beating consensus says the company cleared the bar analysts set, not that the business grew.
Valuation
Project earnings forward and see what return today's price implies.
Seeded from SMG's reported EPS growth of -27.7% a year over 4 years. Historical EPS growth of -28% would project the company towards zero. Floored at -15% as a starting point.
- EPS in 5 years
- $1.12
- Implied price
- $25.73
- Return from $60.94
- -15.8% a year
To earn 15.0% a year on these assumptions you'd need to buy at $12.79 — -79.0% below today's price.
How sensitive is that answer?
Annual return across nearby assumptions. If the result is only attractive in one corner, that is the finding.
| growth \ P/E | 17 | 20 | 23 | 26 | 29 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -25.0% | -30.1% | -27.8% | -25.7% | -23.9% | -22.2% |
| -20.0% | -25.4% | -23.0% | -20.8% | -18.8% | -17.0% |
| -15.0% | -20.8% | -18.2% | -15.8% | -13.8% | -11.8% |
| -10.0% | -16.1% | -13.3% | -10.9% | -8.7% | -6.7% |
| -5.0% | -11.5% | -8.5% | -5.9% | -3.6% | -1.5% |
This is arithmetic on assumptions you chose, not a forecast or a recommendation. It ignores dividends, buybacks, share issuance and debt, and it assumes a company still earning money in 5 years. Change any input and the answer changes a lot — that sensitivity is the honest result, not a flaw in the model.
Mentions (3)
- Newsglobenewswire.com·22h ago·Neutral
ScottsMiracle-Gro Brings America250's “Our American Story” to ScottsMiracle-Gro Field NOTE: This release corrects earlier language that indicated the storytelling initiative will be the largest collection of oral and visual histories. It will be the largest collection of oral and visual histories related to the Semiquincentennial.
View source ↗ - Newsglobenewswire.com·2d ago·Neutral
ScottsMiracle-Gro Brings America250's “Our American Story” to ScottsMiracle-Gro Field Ohioans and Columbus Crew fans are invited to discover the national initiative and record their stories for historic preservation Ohioans and Columbus Crew fans are invited to discover the national initiative and record their stories for historic preservation
View source ↗ - Newsseekingalpha.com·7d ago·Positive
The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company (SMG) Analyst/Investor Day Transcript The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company (SMG) Analyst/Investor Day Transcript
View source ↗