Price (90d)
$40.76Signal Score (90d)
120Quote
Valuation & Ratios
Returns & Efficiency
Revenue & Net Income (Annual)
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Net Income | EPS |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $1.79B | $41.34M | $1.88 |
| 2024 | $1.46B | $53.63M | $2.46 |
| 2023 | $1.36B | $63.14M | $2.91 |
| 2022 | $1.37B | $73.04M | $3.37 |
| 2021 | $1.30B | $90.89M | $4.10 |
Social Signal Score
Earnings
Fri, Oct 30(in 3 months)
Consensus estimate $1.39 per share
Typical surprise +24.4% (median, so one quarter with a near-zero estimate can't distort it)
- Tue, Aug 4$1.40 vs $1.39beat
- Thu, Apr 30$0.82 vs $0.73beat
- Thu, Feb 26$0.56 vs $0.45beat
- Fri, Oct 31$1.36 vs $1.14beat
- Tue, Aug 5$1.29 vs $0.97beat
- Wed, Apr 30$0.81 vs $0.44beat
Estimates and results for SMP via Financial Modeling Prep. Beating consensus says the company cleared the bar analysts set, not that the business grew.
Valuation
Project earnings forward and see what return today's price implies.
Seeded from SMP's reported EPS growth of -17.7% a year over 4 years. Historical EPS growth of -18% would project the company towards zero. Floored at -15% as a starting point.
- EPS in 5 years
- $0.83
- Implied price
- $16.68
- Return from $38.94
- -15.6% a year
To earn 15.0% a year on these assumptions you'd need to buy at $8.29 — -78.7% below today's price.
How sensitive is that answer?
Annual return across nearby assumptions. If the result is only attractive in one corner, that is the finding.
| growth \ P/E | 14 | 17 | 20 | 23 | 26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -25.0% | -30.7% | -27.9% | -25.5% | -23.4% | -21.5% |
| -20.0% | -26.0% | -23.1% | -20.6% | -18.3% | -16.3% |
| -15.0% | -21.4% | -18.3% | -15.6% | -13.2% | -11.0% |
| -10.0% | -16.8% | -13.5% | -10.6% | -8.1% | -5.8% |
| -5.0% | -12.2% | -8.7% | -5.7% | -3.0% | -0.6% |
This is arithmetic on assumptions you chose, not a forecast or a recommendation. It ignores dividends, buybacks, share issuance and debt, and it assumes a company still earning money in 5 years. Change any input and the answer changes a lot — that sensitivity is the honest result, not a flaw in the model.
Mentions (1)
- Newsmarketbeat.com·6d ago·Positive
Standard Motor Products Q2 Earnings Call Highlights Standard Motor Products NYSE: SMP reported second-quarter results marked by 6.7% consolidated sales growth, record adjusted EBITDA of $63.5 million and improved operating cash flow, while maintaining its full-year outlook amid tariff changes, weather-related demand variability and more difficult comparisons in the second half.
View source ↗