Price (90d)
$32.62Signal Score (90d)
107Quote
Valuation & Ratios
Returns & Efficiency
Revenue & Net Income (Annual)
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Net Income | EPS |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $395.51M | $244.21M | $1.20 |
| 2024 | $268.99M | $-23.08M | $-0.11 |
| 2023 | $204.02M | $36.28M | $0.18 |
| 2022 | $151.88M | $55.09M | $0.35 |
| 2021 | $150.42M | $45.53M | $0.31 |
Social Signal Score
Earnings
Tue, Nov 3(in 3 months)
Consensus estimate $0.32 per share
Typical surprise +9.1% (median, so one quarter with a near-zero estimate can't distort it)
- Wed, Aug 5$0.39 vs $0.33beat
- Tue, May 5$0.45 vs $0.43beat
- Wed, Feb 18$0.33 vs $0.32beat
- Tue, Nov 4$0.24 vs $0.22beat
- Wed, Aug 6$0.24 vs $0.21beat
- Tue, May 6$0.20 vs $0.19beat
Estimates and results for TFPM via Financial Modeling Prep. Beating consensus says the company cleared the bar analysts set, not that the business grew.
Valuation
Project earnings forward and see what return today's price implies.
Seeded from TFPM's reported EPS growth of 40.3% a year over 4 years. Historical EPS growth of 40% reflects a recovery from a low base and won't persist. Capped at 30% as a starting point.
- EPS in 5 years
- $4.45
- Implied price
- $124.69
- Return from $31.47
- 31.7% a year
To earn 15.0% a year on these assumptions you'd need to buy at $61.99 — today's price is already 49.2% below that.
How sensitive is that answer?
Annual return across nearby assumptions. If the result is only attractive in one corner, that is the finding.
| growth \ P/E | 20 | 24 | 28 | 32 | 36 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20.0% | 13.7% | 17.9% | 21.6% | 24.9% | 27.8% |
| 25.0% | 18.4% | 22.8% | 26.6% | 30.1% | 33.2% |
| 30.0% | 23.1% | 27.7% | 31.7% | 35.3% | 38.5% |
| 35.0% | 27.9% | 32.6% | 36.8% | 40.5% | 43.8% |
| 40.0% | 32.6% | 37.5% | 41.8% | 45.7% | 49.1% |
This is arithmetic on assumptions you chose, not a forecast or a recommendation. It ignores dividends, buybacks, share issuance and debt, and it assumes a company still earning money in 5 years. Change any input and the answer changes a lot — that sensitivity is the honest result, not a flaw in the model.
Mentions (1)
- Newsmarketbeat.com·6d ago·Neutral
Triple Flag Precious Metals Q2 Earnings Call Highlights Triple Flag Precious Metals NYSE: TFPM reported what Chief Executive Officer Sheldon Vanderkooy described as the strongest first half in the company's history, supported by higher gold-equivalent ounce sales, increased cash flow per share and a newly acquired stream on the Ravenswood Gold Mine in Australia.
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