Price
$53.90+24.14%Social Signal Score
Analyst Ratings
16 analystsRevenue
$4.34B+133.85%Analyst Estimates
Consensus estimates, not results. Via Financial Modeling Prep.
Company Profile
- CEO
- Maximo Vedoya
- Sector
- Basic Materials
- Industry
- Steel
- Employees
- 33,253
- Beta
- 1.17
- Country
- LU
- Piotroski score
- 5 / 9 (Middling)
- Altman Z-score
- 1.96
Financials
Revenue
$4.34B+133.8%Net Income
$343.67M+50.2%EBITDA
$731.56M+45.7%Free Cash Flow
$-175.00M-251.5%EPS (diluted)
$1.80+50.0%Shares Outstanding (diluted)
196.31M+0.0%Operating Expenses
$427.80MCash & Debt
$2.73BReturn of Capital
$255.00MRevenue by Segment (annual)
$15.55BDividend per Share
$1.30Quote
Valuation & Ratios
Returns & Efficiency
Revenue & Net Income (Annual)
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Net Income | EPS |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $15.61B | $425.23M | $2.20 |
| 2024 | $17.65B | $-53.67M | $-0.27 |
| 2023 | $17.61B | $676.04M | $3.40 |
| 2022 | $16.41B | $1.77B | $9.07 |
| 2021 | $16.09B | $3.83B | $19.41 |
| 2020 | $8.74B | $778.47M | $3.96 |
| 2019 | $10.19B | $564.27M | $2.91 |
| 2018 | $11.45B | $1.51B | $7.67 |
| 2017 | $9.70B | $886.22M | $4.50 |
| 2016 | $7.22B | $595.60M | $3.03 |
| 2015 | $7.88B | $8.13M | $0.04 |
| 2014 | $8.73B | $452.40M | $2.30 |
| 2013 | $8.53B | $455.40M | $2.32 |
| 2012 | $8.61B | $139.24M | $0.70 |
Valuation
Project earnings forward and see what return today's price implies.
Seeded from TX's reported EPS growth of 9.2% a year over 13 years.
- EPS in 5 years
- $3.36
- Implied price
- $57.18
- Return from $56.61
- 0.2% a year
To earn 15.0% a year on these assumptions you'd need to buy at $28.43 — -49.8% below today's price.
How sensitive is that answer?
Annual return across nearby assumptions. If the result is only attractive in one corner, that is the finding.
| growth \ P/E | 11 | 14 | 17 | 20 | 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -0.8% | -16.6% | -12.4% | -9.0% | -6.0% | -3.3% |
| 4.2% | -12.4% | -8.0% | -4.4% | -1.2% | 1.6% |
| 9.2% | -8.2% | -3.6% | 0.2% | 3.5% | 6.4% |
| 14.2% | -3.9% | 0.8% | 4.8% | 8.3% | 11.3% |
| 19.2% | 0.3% | 5.2% | 9.4% | 13.0% | 16.2% |
This is arithmetic on assumptions you chose, not a forecast or a recommendation. It ignores dividends, buybacks, share issuance and debt, and it assumes a company still earning money in 5 years. Change any input and the answer changes a lot — that sensitivity is the honest result, not a flaw in the model.
Signal Score (90d)
50-28.57%Social Signal Score
Mentions (5)
- Newsseekingalpha.com·12d ago·Neutral
Ternium: Reducing CapEx And Increasing FCF Support 7% Dividend Yield Projections Ternium is rated a buy, supported by a 14.5% upside to a $65.52 fair value using DCF analysis. Completion of the $4B Pesqueria project will boost TX's steel capacity, cost competitiveness, and EBITDA by 5–10% from 2028 to 2030. CapEx is set to decline, driving free cash flow yield above 15% and enabling a sustainable 6–7% dividend yield.
View source ↗ - Newsseekingalpha.com·18d ago·Positive
Ternium: Mexico Recovery Has Upside, But Cash Flow Still Matters Ternium offers compelling upside, driven by robust Mexico steel demand and the transformative Pasqueria expansion targeting USMCA automotive clients. Q2 showcased strong operational momentum: Mexican shipments rose 5% QoQ, revenue per ton increased 6%, and adjusted EBITDA surged 50% to $717 million. Pasqueria's delayed start to early 2027 and ongoing high capex introduce execution and cash flow risks; Brazil and Argentina remain de
View source ↗ - Newszacks.com·21d ago·Positive
What Makes Ternium (TX) a New Strong Buy Stock Ternium (TX) might move higher on growing optimism about its earnings prospects, which is reflected by its upgrade to a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy).
View source ↗ - Newszacks.com·21d ago·Positive
Despite Fast-paced Momentum, Ternium (TX) Is Still a Bargain Stock Ternium (TX) could be a great choice for investors looking to buy stocks that have gained strong momentum recently but are still trading at reasonable prices. It is one of the several stocks that made it through our 'Fast-Paced Momentum at a Bargain' screen.
View source ↗ - Newsmarketbeat.com·58d ago·Positive
Ternium Q2 Earnings Call Highlights Ternium NYSE: TX reported a sequential recovery in second-quarter profitability, supported by higher steel shipments, improved realized prices and stronger market conditions in Mexico and Brazil. The company said adjusted EBITDA increased 50% from the first quarter, while its adjusted EBITDA margin expanded to 16.5% from 12.2%.
View source ↗
Earnings
Tue, Nov 3(in 4 weeks)
Consensus estimate $1.94 per share
Typical surprise +3.0% (median, so one quarter with a near-zero estimate can't distort it)
- Tue, Aug 4$1.75 vs $1.22beat
- Tue, May 5$1.09 vs $0.86beat
- Wed, Feb 18$0.62 vs $0.77miss
- Tue, Oct 28$0.10 vs $0.78miss
- Tue, Jul 29$1.28 vs $0.66beat
- Tue, Apr 29$0.34 vs $0.33beat
Estimates and results for TX via Financial Modeling Prep. Beating consensus says the company cleared the bar analysts set, not that the business grew.
Insider trading
Open-market buys and sells by TX officers and directors.
No open-market trades in the recent filings. All 21 recent Form 4 entries were share awards, option exercises or tax withholding — pay, not decisions to buy or sell.
21 further Form 4 entries are share awards, option exercises or shares withheld for tax. Those are compensation, not trades, so they are excluded above. Buying is the stronger signal: an insider spends their own money for one reason. Selling has many innocent explanations — tax, diversifying, a house — so it says far less than it appears to. Via SEC filings.
Congress trades
- Sheri Biggshouse · SC03 · disclosed Oct 6, 2025 (202d later)Sell$1,001 - $15,000
Self-reported filings, amounts as brackets. Via Senate/House disclosures.