Price (90d)
$34.18Signal Score (90d)
123Quote
Valuation & Ratios
Returns & Efficiency
Revenue & Net Income (Annual)
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Net Income | EPS |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $7.29B | $678.00M | $3.15 |
| 2024 | $7.21B | $269.00M | $1.27 |
| 2023 | $8.93B | $-1.50B | $-7.16 |
| 2022 | $10.11B | $1.07B | $5.11 |
| 2021 | $7.45B | $1.47B | $7.02 |
Social Signal Score
Earnings
Thu, Nov 19(in 3 months)
Consensus estimate $-0.36 per share
Typical surprise +18.8% (median, so one quarter with a near-zero estimate can't distort it)
- Wed, Aug 5$-0.20 vs $-0.08miss
- Wed, May 6$2.09 vs $2.11miss
- Wed, Feb 4$1.26 vs $1.50miss
- Thu, Nov 20$-0.23 vs $-0.38beat
- Wed, Aug 6$-0.01 vs $-0.10beat
- Wed, May 7$2.21 vs $1.86beat
Estimates and results for UGI via Financial Modeling Prep. Beating consensus says the company cleared the bar analysts set, not that the business grew.
Valuation
Project earnings forward and see what return today's price implies.
Seeded from UGI's reported EPS growth of -18.2% a year over 4 years. Historical EPS growth of -18% would project the company towards zero. Floored at -15% as a starting point.
- EPS in 5 years
- $1.40
- Implied price
- $15.40
- Return from $35.37
- -15.3% a year
To earn 15.0% a year on these assumptions you'd need to buy at $7.65 — -78.4% below today's price.
How sensitive is that answer?
Annual return across nearby assumptions. If the result is only attractive in one corner, that is the finding.
| growth \ P/E | 7 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -25.0% | -31.7% | -28.2% | -25.3% | -22.7% | -20.5% |
| -20.0% | -27.2% | -23.4% | -20.3% | -17.6% | -15.2% |
| -15.0% | -22.6% | -18.7% | -15.3% | -12.4% | -9.9% |
| -10.0% | -18.1% | -13.9% | -10.3% | -7.3% | -4.6% |
| -5.0% | -13.5% | -9.1% | -5.4% | -2.1% | 0.7% |
This is arithmetic on assumptions you chose, not a forecast or a recommendation. It ignores dividends, buybacks, share issuance and debt, and it assumes a company still earning money in 5 years. Change any input and the answer changes a lot — that sensitivity is the honest result, not a flaw in the model.
Mentions (2)
- News (RSS)fool·2d ago·Positive
UGI (UGI) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript AmeriGas propane volumes decline amid warmer weather, offset by utilities rate gains.
View source ↗ - Newsmarketbeat.com·6d ago·Positive
UGI Q3 Earnings Call Highlights UGI NYSE: UGI reported fiscal 2026 third-quarter reportable segment EBIT of $58 million, down from $72 million a year earlier, as warmer weather and lower retail propane volumes at AmeriGas weighed on results. The company said year-to-date reportable segment EBIT increased modestly to $1.187 billion, up $3 million from the prior-year period.
View source ↗