Price (90d)
No price history yet — the daily price refresh runs once a day.
Signal Score (90d)
103Quote
Valuation & Ratios
Returns & Efficiency
Revenue & Net Income (Annual)
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Net Income | EPS |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $979.08M | $136.63M | $0.86 |
| 2024 | $879.21M | $31.45M | $0.19 |
| 2023 | $817.31M | $57.02M | $0.36 |
| 2022 | $741.60M | $92.47M | $0.61 |
| 2021 | $550.59M | $41.45M | $0.26 |
Social Signal Score
Earnings
Wed, Oct 28(in 2 months)
Consensus estimate $0.26 per share
Typical surprise +3.4% (median, so one quarter with a near-zero estimate can't distort it)
- Wed, Aug 5$0.38 vs $0.33beat
- Wed, May 6$0.25 vs $0.25beat
- Tue, Feb 24$0.30 vs $0.32miss
- Wed, Oct 29$0.37 vs $0.34beat
- Wed, Aug 6$0.34 vs $0.33beat
- Wed, May 7$0.30 vs $0.29beat
Estimates and results for VRRM via Financial Modeling Prep. Beating consensus says the company cleared the bar analysts set, not that the business grew.
Valuation
Project earnings forward and see what return today's price implies.
Seeded from VRRM's reported EPS growth of 34.9% a year over 4 years. Historical EPS growth of 35% reflects a recovery from a low base and won't persist. Capped at 30% as a starting point.
- EPS in 5 years
- $3.19
- Implied price
- $82.96
- Return from $4.72
- 77.4% a year
To earn 15.0% a year on these assumptions you'd need to buy at $41.24 — today's price is already 88.6% below that.
How sensitive is that answer?
Annual return across nearby assumptions. If the result is only attractive in one corner, that is the finding.
| growth \ P/E | 18 | 22 | 26 | 30 | 34 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20.0% | 52.2% | 58.4% | 63.8% | 68.5% | 72.8% |
| 25.0% | 58.5% | 65.0% | 70.6% | 75.5% | 80.0% |
| 30.0% | 64.8% | 71.6% | 77.4% | 82.6% | 87.2% |
| 35.0% | 71.2% | 78.2% | 84.2% | 89.6% | 94.4% |
| 40.0% | 77.5% | 84.8% | 91.1% | 96.6% | 101.6% |
This is arithmetic on assumptions you chose, not a forecast or a recommendation. It ignores dividends, buybacks, share issuance and debt, and it assumes a company still earning money in 5 years. Change any input and the answer changes a lot — that sensitivity is the honest result, not a flaw in the model.
Mentions (1)
- Newsseekingalpha.com·2d ago·Neutral
Verra Mobility: The Quarter Improved, But The Contract Reset Still Matters Verra Mobility Corp. delivered 12% y/y revenue growth in Q2, with Commercial Services returning to growth and Government Solutions accelerating. Despite strong top-line performance, EBITDA margin fell to 42%, and free cash flow declined, as Government Solutions' lower margin mix and contract pricing weighed. Recent contract renewals with Avis and Hertz reduce termination risk but introduce less favorable terms and fleet-v
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